Nevada Wolf Pack (3-7) vs. Boise State Broncos (7-1)
November 9, 2024 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Boise State Broncos -26.5 / Nevada Wolf Pack +26.5; Over/Under: +60.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Nevada Wolf Pack and the Boise State Broncos meet Saturday in college football action from Albertsons Stadium. Here’s a Boise State vs Nevada prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Boise State vs Nevada pick.
Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview
The Wolf Pack were only able to win one of their first four games this year, beating Troy with losses otherwise to SMU, Minnesota, and Georgia Southern. The next five games were a 2-3 run with losses to San Jose State, Fresno State, and Hawaii mixed with wins over Eastern Washington and Oregon State.
In the matchup with Colorado State last Saturday, the Wolf Pack gave up double-digit points in three of four quarters for an eventual 38-21 defeat. QB Brendon Lewis threw for 252 yards and a score while also leading the rush on 14 carries for 109 yards and two more TDs.
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
Over on the Boise State side, they lost just one of their first seven games, a 37-34 affair versus Oregon. Otherwise, it was wins over Georgia Southern, Portland State, Washington State, Utah State, Hawaii, and UNLV in that span.
Back on Friday versus San Diego State, Boise State didn’t have too much trouble. The Broncos surged to a 35-10 halftime lead and cruised to the blowout win 56-24. QB Maddux Madsen finished with 307 yards and four pass scores, while Ashton Jeanty led the rush on 31 carries for 149 yards and two TDs of his own.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won each of its last nine games at Albertsons Stadium.
- Nevada has lost each of its last eight games in November.
- Boise State has covered the spread in each of its last six home games against conference opponents.
- Nevada has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games in November.
- Boise State has won the first quarter in each of its last five home games against conference opponents.
- Boise State has won the first half in each of its last eight games against conference opponents.
Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win
- The road team has won four of the last five games between Nevada and Boise State.
- Nevada has covered the spread in five of its last six November games as a road underdog.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Boise State’s last five games as a home favorite has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Nevada’s last four games in November has gone OVER the total points line.
Boise State vs Nevada Prediction
I’m going to stick with Boise State. The Broncos made short work of an overmatched San Diego State team last week, posting 541 yards (322 passing), 6.8 yards per play, and a whopping 34 first downs. Boise State gave up 256 yards (155 passing) on the other side along with 12 first downs and 2-of-14 third-down conversions. It was a dominant overall effort.
As for Nevada, on Saturday they did a pretty good job on offense outside of two lost fumbles and a 3-of-11 rate on third-down conversions. The Wolf Pack have now given up a combined 72 points in their last two games and that trend probably won’t stop here.
