Boise State vs Notre Dame Prediction 10/4/25 College Football Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Boise State vs Notre Dame Prediction for this College Football Week 6 game on Saturday, October 4^th at the Notre Dame Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Notre Dame Preview

Notre Dame has a 2-2 record this season. They are 2-2 ATS, 4-0 in Over/Under and have a 1-1 home record and 1-1 away record. The Fighting Irish are coming off a 56-13 road win in Arkansas and are playing North Carolina State and USC next.

Offensively, the Fighting Irish average 44.0 points per game, which ranks 11th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 27.8 points per game, which is 99th. Notre Dame averages 479.8 total yards per game, with 173.3 rushing yards and 306.5 passing yards per game. They allow 390.3 total yards per game, with 121.5 rushing and 268.8 passing yards per game.

CJ Carr leads the Fighting Irish with 1091 passing yards and 68.3% completed passes. Jeremiyah Love leads the team in rushing yards, with 341, while Malachi Fields has a team-high 13 caught passes for 275 receiving yards, and has one touchdown. Defensively, Adon Shuler has a team-high 19 total tackles, 10 of them solo. Boubacar Traore leads the Fighting Irish in sacks, with 3, while Luke Talich has one interception.

Boise State Preview

Boise State has a 3-1 record this season and are sitting on the 2nd place of the MWC. They are 3-1 ATS, 3-1 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and 1-1 away record. The Broncos are coming off a 47-14 home win against Appalachian State and are playing New Mexico and UNLV next.

Offensively, the Broncos average 38.5 points per game, which ranks 22nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 24.8 points per game, which is 75th. Boise State averages 520 total yards per game, with 221 rushing yards and 299 passing yards per game. They allow 338.3 total yards per game, with 152.8 rushing and 185.5 passing yards per game.

Maddux Madsen leads the Broncos with 1129 passing yards and 59.8% completed passes. Dylan Riley leads the team in rushing yards, with 360, while Latrell Caples has a team-high 15 caught passes for 240 receiving yards, and has two touchdowns. Defensively, Ty Benefield has a team-high 33 total tackles, 22 of them solo. Braxton Fely leads the Broncos in sacks, with 3.5, while Ty Benefield has one interception.

Boise State Broncos @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Trends: Week 6

Why the Notre Dame Fighting Irish will win

• Notre Dame has won each of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Boise State has lost each of its last seven games as an underdog.
• Notre Dame has covered the spread in each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Boise State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven road games against non-conference opponents.

Why the Boise State Broncos will win

• Boise State has won each of its last three October games as an underdog.
• Boise State has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 games in October.
• Boise State has won the first quarter in five of its last six road games against non-conference opponents.
• Boise State has won the first half in each of its last four road games against opponents from the FBS Independents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Notre Dame’s last six games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Boise State’s last four games as a road underdog have gone OVER the total points line.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Jeremiyah Love is one of only two players in the FBS to record 3+ rushing and 3+ receiving TDs this season.

Boise State Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Maddux Madsen has recorded 275+ passing yards in three consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 6.

Matchup/League Facts

• Notre Dame ranks 136th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (15.3).
• Notre Dame ranks 5th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (16.5).
• Boise State ranks 3rd among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+12.0).
• Boise State ranks 4th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (13.8).

Boise State vs Notre Dame Prediction

In this Boise State vs Notre Dame Prediction, Notre Dame is coming as -20.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 63.5 points. Both teams have been in good form lately, as they have three and two straight wins respectively. Both teams have a 1-1 home/away record, so I don’t trust either side in this matchup. Both teams have been playing some higher-scoring games this season, as they are 7-1 to the over in their 8 games combined. They are both on the top-22 of the nation offensively, scoring 82.5 points per game combined, so I expect a high-scoring game today. Take the over 63.5 points.