Texas State Bobcats (4-3) vs. Boise State Broncos (6-1)
October 31, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Boise State Broncos -10.5 / Texas State Bobcats +10.5; Over/Under: 63.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Texas State Bobcats and the Boise State Broncos meet in week 9 college football action from Albertsons Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game.
Texas State Bobcats vs. Boise State Broncos Prediction
I’m on Boise State here. I just think that Boise State is the better team by a fair margin and this is the time of year where the Broncos really start to turn it on. Texas State has a potent offense but a defense that can be a bit of a sieve at times and I don’t trust the Bobcats to be able to slow up Boise State in this one. I’ll back the Broncos for a big win as the Broncos are still trying to accrue style points to make a case for a college football playoff spot.
Texas State Bobcats Recap
The Texas State Bobcats come into this game looking to build on their 20-17 win over Utah State last time out to improve their record to 4-3 this season. After this game, Texas State will head on the road for a game against the Oregon State Beavers.
Bobcats Win 4 Of Last 5 Games
Josh Brown has thrown for 1,127 yards, 8 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on 53.1% passing while Torrance Burgess Jr. leads Texas State in rushing with 889 yards. Josh Brown sits behind Burgess Jr. on the ground with 364 yards and 7 touchdowns. Chris Dawn Jr. leads the Bobcats in receiving with 396 yards, while Dayvian Bluitt trails with 455 yards and 20 catches along with 3 touchdowns. On defense, Kamsi Arinze has a team-high 45 tackles while Texas State’s defense as a whole has combined for 11 sacks and 5 interceptions.
Why the Texas State Bobcats will win
- Texas State has won five of its last six games against conference opponents.
- Boise State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
- Texas State has won the first half in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
- Texas State has won the first quarter in each of its last five games.
Boise State Broncos Recap
The Boise State Broncos come into this game looking to add on to their 31-10 win over Washington State in their last matchup to improve to 6-1 on the year. After this game, the Broncos will head on the road for a matchup against the Colorado State Rams.
Broncos Win 6th Game In A Row
Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,445 yards, 14 touchdowns and zero interceptions on 65.6% passing while Dylan Riley leads Boise State in rushing with 963 yards and 8 touchdowns. Sire Gaines sits behind Riley on the ground with 418 yards and 4 touchdowns. Rasean Jones leads the Broncos in receiving with 437 yards and 29 catches along with a touchdown, while Matt Wagner trails with 261 yards and 23 catches along with 4 touchdowns. On defense, Boen Phelps has a team-high 41 tackles while Boise State’s defense as a whole has combined for 18 sacks and 6 interceptions.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won each of its last 22 games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team at Albertsons Stadium.
- Texas State has lost each of its last 10 October games as a road underdog.
- Texas State has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games against AP-ranked teams.
- Boise State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight home games in October.
- Boise State has won the first quarter in each of its last six games as an AP-ranked team at Albertsons Stadium.
- Boise State has won the first half in each of its last 15 October games as an AP-ranked team.
