Boise State vs UNLV Prediction 12-6-24 College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Boise State vs UNLV prediction for this College Football game on Friday, December 6th at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. Let’s take a look at the prediction for the Mountain West Championship game. 

Boise State Broncos Betting Preview

The Boise State Broncos are 11-1 (7-0) this year after they defeated Oregon State by a score of 34-18 in their last game. Boise State led 21-7 at the half and they were able to cruise to the win in the second half. The Broncos outgained Oregon State by a total of 465-342, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 8-15 on third down in the game. Maddux Madsen threw for 195 yards and two touchdowns, while Ashton Jeanty rushed for 226 yards and one score. 

Prior to that win, the Broncos won nine games in a row, with six of those wins coming by double digits. The Boise State offense has scored 40.6 points per game with 224.8 passing yards and 253.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23.2 points per game this season. Maddux Madsen has completed 61.7% of his passes for 2,556 yards, 21 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Ashton Jeanty has rushed for 2,288 yards and 28 scores. 

UNLV Rebels Betting Preview

The UNLV Rebels are 10-2 (6-1) this season after they defeated Nevada by a score of 38-14 in their last game. UNLV led 24-7 at halftime and scored the first 14 points in the second half for the easy win. The Rebels outgained Nevada by a total of 520-359, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 8-12 on third down in the game. Hajj-Malik Williams threw for 168 yards and two touchdowns, while Jai’Den Thomas rushed for 135 yards and one score. 

Prior to that game, the Rebels won three games in a row against San Jose State, San Diego State, and Hawaii. The UNLV offense has scored 39.7 points per game with 179.9 passing yards and 254.1 rushing yards per game, while their defense has allowed 22 points per game this season. Hajj-Malik Williams has completed 64.1% of his passes for 1,735 yards, 17 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Ricky White III has caught 75 passes for 1,020 yards and 11 touchdowns this year. 

Why UNLV will beat Boise State

• UNLV has won each of its last eight road games.
• Boise State has lost four of its last five games as a favorite against AP-ranked teams.
• UNLV has covered the spread in each of its last eight road games against AP-ranked teams.
• Boise State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games in December.
• UNLV has won the first half in six of its last eight road games against conference opponents.
• UNLV has won the first quarter in each of its last seven games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Boise State’s last six games as a favorite against AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of UNLV’s last five road games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Boise State ranks 3rd among FBS teams for points per game this season (40.6).
• Boise State ranks 3rd among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (12.2).
• UNLV ranks 4th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (254.1).
• UNLV ranks T4th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (17).

Boise State vs UNLV Prediction 

Boise State comes into this matchup looking to lock up a spot in the College Football Playoff, but they will play a solid UNLV team here. These two teams played earlier this season, with Boise State winning by a score of 29-24 on the road. The first matchup was pretty even and ended with Boise State taking up the last eight minutes of the game. Boise State’s only loss this season came against Oregon in a very close game, but they haven’t played their best in their last four games. UNLV has won three games in a row by double digits, but they need to find a way to slow down Jeanty. I think UNLV has the better quarterback and I do think the Rebels could get the win, so I will take the free field goal here. Take UNLV.