College Football

Boise State vs Utah State Prediction 10-5-24 College Football Picks

Utah State Aggies (1-3) vs. Boise State Broncos (3-1)
October 5, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Boise State Broncos -26.5 / Utah State Aggies +26.5; Over/Under: +62.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Utah State Aggies and the Boise State Broncos meet in week 6 college football action from Albertsons Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boise State vs Utah State Prediction.

Utah State Recap

The Utah State Aggies come into this one looking to snap a three-game losing streak after ending up at 1-3 on the year with a 45-29 loss to Temple last time out. After this game, Utah State will return home for a matchup with UNLV.


Aggies Looking For Answers Defensively

Bryson Barnes has thrown for 524 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 4 INTs on 57% passing while Spencer Petras has thrown for 438 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions on 61% passing. Rahsul Faison leads the Aggies with 395 rushing yards while Jalen Royals leads the Aggies’ receiving group with 25 catches for 280 yards and 2 touchdowns. Kyrese White also has 242 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns while two more Aggies have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Jordan Vincent has a team-high 43 total tackles including 23 solo tackles while the Aggies’ defense as a whole has combined for 4 sacks and 2 interceptions as well on the year.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

  • Utah State has won three of its last four games against conference opponents.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in five of Utah State’s last six games.

Boise State Recap

The Boise State Broncos come into this one looking to build on back-to-back wins after a 45-24 win over Washington State last time out to improve to 3-1 on the year. After this game, Boise State will head out to take on Hawaii on the island.

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Broncos Riding Jeanty Wave

Maddux Madsen has thrown for 800 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions on 58.2% passing while Ashton Jeanty leads the Broncos on the ground with 845 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns this season. Cameron Camper has a team-high 271 receiving yards along with 3 TDs and 13 receptions while Matt Lauter has a team-high 14 grabs for 210 yards and 3 scores. Latrell Caples also has 11 receptions for 142 yards on the year. On defense, Ty Benefield has a team-high 29 total tackles including 21 solo tackles while Ahmed Hassanein has a team-high 4 sacks. As a unit, Boise State’s defense has combined for 20 sacks and an interception so far this season.

Why the Boise State Broncos will win

  • Boise State has won each of its last eight games against Utah State.
  • Utah State has lost each of its last seven games at Albertsons Stadium.
  • Utah State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last eight road games in October.
  • Boise State has covered the spread in each of its last seven games against Utah State.

Boise State vs Utah State Prediction

I’m on Boise State here. I get why the line feels hefty, but Boise State just ran it up on a really solid Washington State team and while some could consider a letdown here before going to play Hawaii on the road, I think Boise State’s too focused to let this one slip. The Broncos have a legitimate chance to be the team that represents the Group of 5 in the college football playoff if they can keep it rolling, and I don’t think that Utah State is the team I want to ride to try to step in front of this runaway Boise State train. Give me the Broncos.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Boise State -26.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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