Bowling Green vs Ball State Prediction Football Picks Today 10/17/26

The Ball State Cardinals and Bowling Green Falcons meet Saturday in week 7 college football action at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. Here’s a Bowling Green vs. Ball State Prediction. This article will include a Bowling Green vs. Ball State Pick.

Ball State Cardinals Betting Preview

The Ball State Cardinals lost to Toledo and Northwestern, and they play Sacramento State next. Ball State has lost 8 of its last 9 games. Keldric Luster is completing 64.4 percent of his passes for 871 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Donovan Hamilton and Jabari Smith have combined for 469 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jamarion McDougle has 18 receptions.

The Ball State Cardinals’ ground game is averaging 117.8 yards per contest, and TJ Horton leads the way with 311 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Ball State is allowing 39 points and 467.3 yards per game. Sterling Smith leads the Ball State Cardinals with 38 tackles, Layton Starks has 1.5 sacks, and Kamron Chamble has 2 interceptions.

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview

The Bowling Green Falcons beat Miami OH and Sacramento State, and they play Buffalo next. Bowling Green has won 2 straight games. Jay Kastantin is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 986 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Jeremiah Scoby and Winn Sharp have combined for 472 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Brennan Ridley has 20 receptions.

The Bowling Green Falcons’ ground game is averaging 107.3 yards per contest, and Austyn Dendy leads the way with 271 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing 29.2 points and 379.7 yards per game. Dorian Pringle leads the Bowling Green Falcons with 56 tackles, Myles Bradley has 7 sacks, and Drey Braxton has 1 interception.

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

• Ball State has lost each of its last 14 road games.
• The favorite has won each of Ball State’s last 11 games.
• The home team has covered the spread in six of Ball State’s last seven games.
• Ball State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six road games against conference opponents.
• The home team has won the first quarter in each of Ball State’s last eight games.
• Ball State has lost the first half in each of its last 12 games as an underdog against teams from Ohio.

Why the Ball State Cardinals will win

• Bowling Green has lost five of its last six games as a favorite in Ohio.
• The underdog has won six of Bowling Green’s last eight games at Doyt Perry Stadium.
• The underdog has covered the spread in nine of Bowling Green’s last 10 games at Doyt Perry Stadium.
• Bowling Green has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as a favorite in Ohio.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Ball State’s last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of Bowling Green’s last seven games as a favorite in Ohio have gone UNDER the total points line.

Bowling Green Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 7, Myles Bradley ranks T3rd amongst FBS players for sacks (7.0) this season.

Ball State Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 7, TJ Horton leads the Mid-American Conference for yards per carry (7.3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Bowling Green has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (2).
• Bowling Green ranks 136th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (11.0).
• Ball State has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 10+ points of any FBS team this season (4).
• Ball State has suffered the most road losses by a margin of 25+ points of any FBS team this season (3).

Bowling Green vs Ball State Prediction

I guess Bowling Green is getting the benefit of the doubt because it’s at home, but I’m not laying a touchdown with either side. Bowling Green and Ball State are two of the worst teams in college football. Neither side does anything well, and while Bowling Green is coming off back-to-back wins, which include an upset over Miami OH, it’s not enough for me to overlook the overall struggles. If forced to pick a side, I want points in my pocket.