Bowling Green vs Old Dominion Prediction 9-28-24 College Football Picks

The Old Dominion Monarchs and the Bowling Green Falcons will meet Saturday in college football action from Doyt Perry Stadium. Here’s a Bowling Green vs Old Dominion prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Bowling Green vs Old Dominion pick.

Old Dominion Monarchs Betting Preview

The Monarchs have struggled through three games so far, but their first two outings were fairly close calls. Old Dominion fell to South Carolina 23-19 in their opener, then took a close loss 20-14 versus East Carolina in game two.

Back on September 14 versus Virginia Tech, the Monarchs would take another loss. This one wasn’t close though, as ODU fell 37-17 after a reasonable four-point deficit in the first half. QB Quinn Henicle threw for just 38 yards and a pick, while Bryce Duke led the rush on 85 yards from four carries.

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview

Over on the Bowling Green side, they opened up their year with a fairly routine matchup versus Fordham. The Falcons cruised through that one with a 41-17 victory. In game two versus a tough Penn State team, Bowling Green fought hard but ended up taking a tough loss 34-27.

Matched up against Texas A&M in another tough game last weekend, the Falcons were down 20-17 going into the fourth quarter and ultimately lost a close one 26-20. Connor Bazelak threw for 250 yards, one TD and one pick. Harold Fannin led the receivers on 145 yards and a score off eight catches.

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

• Old Dominion has lost each of its last 10 September road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has won each of Bowling Green’s last eight games at Doyt Perry Stadium.
• Bowling Green has covered the spread in six of its last seven games.
• Old Dominion has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.

Why the Old Dominion Monarchs will win

• Old Dominion has won four of its last five games when playing with a rest advantage.
• Bowling Green has lost 20 of its last 26 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The underdog has covered the spread in 13 of Old Dominion’s last 15 games.
• Bowling Green has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five September games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Four of Old Dominion’s last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Bowling Green’s last three September games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Bowling Green vs Old Dominion Prediction

I’m going to stay with Bowling Green. The Falcons had their hands full last weekend against Texas A&M but performed admirably overall. Bowling Green went just 3-of-12 on third downs however, and gave up 235 rushing yards to the Aggies. They’ll match up better on Saturday, though.

As for Old Dominion, I expect them to look better here than they did against Virginia Tech. The Monarchs mustered 293 total yards in that one (243 rushing) with 11 first downs, two turnovers and a rough 2-of-13 on third-down conversions. ODU should have more dimensions to their offense this weekend but I don’t think they’ll keep pace.