Bowling Green Falcons (2-5) vs. Buffalo Bulls (4-3)
October 24, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Buffalo Bulls -162 / Bowling Green Falcons 136; Over/Under: 44.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Buffalo vs Bowling Green prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 24th at Broadview Stadium in Buffalo, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 8 matchup.
Buffalo Bulls Betting Preview
The Buffalo Bulls are 4-3 (2-1) this year after they defeated UMass in overtime by a score of 25-18 in their last game. Buffalo trailed 15-8 at halftime and 18-15 in the fourth, but they forced overtime and got the win. The Bulls out gained UMass by a total of 351-339, went 8-19 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at two in the game. Jason Wright threw for 134 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Clint Walker caught seven passes for 45 yards and two scores. Messiah Burch rushed 28 times for 172 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, Buffalo defeated Toledo by a score of 23-8, but lost to Western Michigan by a score of 20-17 before that. The Bulls have scored 21.4 points per game with 158.6 passing yards and 164.9 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.6 points against per game this season. Jason Wright has thrown for 860 yards with six touchdowns and four interceptions, while Messiah Burch has rushed 118 times for 661 yards and two scores this year.
Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview
The Bowling Green Falcons are 2-5 (2-1) this season after they lost to Ball State in overtime by a score of 32-31 last week. Bowling Green was tied 10-10 at halftime, but they allowed the tying score on the last play of the fourth quarter, before losing on a two point conversion in OT. The Falcons were out gained by a total of 435-313, went 5-12 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Jay Kastantin threw for 215 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Brennan Ridley caught two passes for 84 yards and one score. Austyn Dendy rushed 17 times for 61 yards and one touchdown in the loss.
Prior to that game, Bowling Green defeated Sacramento State by a score of 38-10 and Miami (OH) by a score of 24-20. The Falcons have scored 18.0 points per game with 174.4 passing yards and 105.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 29.6 points against per game this season. Jay Kastantin has thrown for 1,201 yards with seven touchdowns and four interceptions this season.
Why the Buffalo Bulls will win
- The favorite has won each of Buffalo’s last six games at Broadview Stadium.
- Bowling Green has lost seven of its last nine road games.
- Buffalo has covered the spread in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
- Bowling Green has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as a road underdog.
- Buffalo has won the first half in six of its last eight games against Bowling Green.
- Buffalo has won the first quarter in six of its last eight games against Bowling Green.
Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win
- Bowling Green has won each of its last four October games as an underdog.
- Buffalo has lost four of its last five home games against conference opponents.
- Buffalo has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as a favorite.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the last four games between Bowling Green and Buffalo.
- The road team has won the first quarter in each of the last five games between Bowling Green and Buffalo.
- Bowling Green has won the first half in 11 of its last 12 road games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Bowling Green’s last eight games as a road underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Buffalo’s last four games as a home favorite against teams from Ohio have gone UNDER the total points line.
Buffalo Bulls Player Prop Facts
- Messiah Burch has recorded 100+ rushing yards in four consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 8.
Bowling Green Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Myles Bradley ranks T4th amongst FBS players for sacks (7.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Buffalo has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
- Buffalo has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
- Bowling Green has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (2).
- Bowling Green ranks T136th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (1.4).
Buffalo vs Bowling Green Prediction
Buffalo comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they have allowed 20 or fewer points in three straight. Bowling Green has won two of their last three games, but they really blew a chance to win last week against Ball State. The Falcons have scored 69 points in their last two games and I think we could see some offense from both sides. Take the over here.
