Buffalo vs Bowling Green Prediction 11/1/25 College Football Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Buffalo vs Bowling Green Prediction for this College Football Week 10 game on Saturday, November 1^st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Bowling Green Falcons Preview

Bowling Green has a 3-5 record this season and is sitting 10th in the MAC. They are 4-4 ATS, 4-4 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 0-4 away record. Bowling Green is coming off a 21-24 road loss against Kent State and will face Eastern Michigan, Akron and Massachusetts next.

Offensively, Bowling Green averages 20.1 points per game, ranking 119th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25.4 points per game, which is 80th. Bowling Green averages 316.0 total yards per game (165.0 passing and 151.0 rushing), while allowing 354.9 total yards per game (145.5 rushing and 209.4 passing).

Drew Pyne leads Bowling Green with 830 passing yards with 64.4% completed passes and 4 touchdowns. Chris McMillian leads the team in rushing yards with 317, while Jyrin Johnson has a team-high 23 receptions for 278 receiving yards. Defensively, Gideon Lampron has a team-high 77 total tackles (42 of them solo), while Myles Bradley leads the team in sacks, with 4.0. Kal-El Pascal, MJ Cannon, Dorian Pringle and JoJo Johnson lead the team with one interception each.

Buffalo Bulls Preview

Buffalo has a 4-4 record this season and is sitting 4th in the MAC. They are 2-5 ATS, 4-4 in Over/Under and have a 2-3 home record and a 2-1 away record. Buffalo is coming off a 16-24 home loss against Akron and will face Central Michigan, Miami (OH) and Ohio next.

Offensively, Buffalo averages 24.4 points per game, ranking 93rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 21.6 points per game, which is 46th. Buffalo averages 366.4 total yards per game (222.1 passing and 144.3 rushing), while allowing 337.0 total yards per game (142.3 rushing and 194.8 passing).

Ta’Quan Roberson leads Buffalo with 1,603 passing yards with 61.2% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Al-Jay Henderson leads the team in rushing yards with 544, while Victor Snow has a team-high 44 receptions for 578 receiving yards. Defensively, Khalil Murdock has a team-high 92 total tackles (33 of them solo), while Kobe Stewart leads the team in sacks, with 3.5, and Jalen McNair leads the team with 2 interceptions.

Buffalo Bulls @ Bowling Green Falcons Betting Trends: Week 10

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

• The home team has won seven of Bowling Green’s last eight games.
• Buffalo has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games.
• Bowling Green has covered the spread in four of its last five games against teams from New York.
• Bowling Green has won the first half in 14 of its last 18 games against conference opponents.
• Bowling Green has won the first quarter in 12 of its last 16 games against conference opponents.

Why the Buffalo Bulls will win

• Bowling Green has lost four of its last five games as a favorite.
• The underdog has won four of Bowling Green’s last five games at Doyt Perry Stadium.
• The underdog has covered the spread in nine of Bowling Green’s last 10 games.
• Bowling Green has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games as a favorite in Ohio.
• Buffalo has won the first quarter in three of its last four road games against conference opponents.
• Bowling Green has lost the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Bowling Green’s last eight games as a favorite in Ohio have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Buffalo’s last five road games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Bowling Green Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Jackson Kleather leads the Mid-American Conference for field goals made (14) this season.

Buffalo Bulls Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Red Murdock leads the league for forced fumbles (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Bowling Green ranks 133rd among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (25.0).
• Bowling Green ranks T127th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-4.3).
• Five of Buffalo’s eight games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
• Three of Buffalo’s eight games this season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.

Buffalo vs Bowling Green Prediction

In their previous meeting in 2023, Bowling Green won 24-14 on the road, but Buffalo is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings. Under is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Buffalo vs Bowling Green Prediction, Bowling Green is coming as -1.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 43.5 points. Bowling Green has been struggling lately, having won only once in their last five games, but are 3-1 at home. Buffalo is 2-3 in its last 5 games, but is struggling to cover spread, as they are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. The Bulls have both a better offense and defense, with a +2.8 point differential, while the Falcons have a -5.3 point differential this season, so the value lies with the road dog in this matchup. Take Buffalo and the +1.5 point.