Massachusetts Minutemen (4-2) vs. Buffalo Bulls (3-3)
October 17, 2026 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Buffalo Bulls -7 / Massachusetts Minutemen +7; Over/Under: 42.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The UMass Minutemen and the Buffalo Bulls meet in week 7 college football action from UB Alumni Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UMass Minutemen vs. Buffalo Bulls Prediction.
UMass Minutemen Recap
The UMass Minutemen come into this game looking to bounce back from their 20-19 loss at the hands of Miami-Ohio last time out to sit at 4-2 this season. After this game, UMass will head on the road for a game against UConn.
Minutemen Lose Back-To-Back Games
William Watson III has thrown for 820 yards, 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 74.0% passing while Curtis Kimmons IV leads Massachusetts in rushing with 297 yards and 4 touchdowns through 5 games this season. William Watson III sits behind Kimmons IV on the ground with 167 yards and 4 touchdowns. T.Y. Harding leads the Minutemen in receiving with 327 yards and 28 catches along with 2 touchdowns, while Jabari Lewis trails with 241 yards and 15 catches. On defense, Timmy Hinspeter has a team-high 47 tackles while Massachusetts’s defense as a whole has combined for 13 sacks and 6 interceptions through 5 games this season.
Buffalo Bulls Recap
The Buffalo Bulls come into this game looking to add on to their 23-8 win over Toledo last time out to sit at 3-3 this season. After this game, Buffalo will head home for a game against Bowling Green.
Bulls Looking To Build On Upset Win
Jason Wright has thrown for 726 yards, 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 48.8% passing while Messiah Burch leads Buffalo in rushing with 489 yards and 2 touchdowns through 5 games this season. Nino Hill sits behind Burch on the ground with 148 yards and 2 touchdowns. Chance Morrow leads the Bulls in receiving with 414 yards and 34 catches along with 6 touchdowns, while Dwayne Early Jr. trails with 135 yards and 10 catches. On defense, SaVeon Brown has a team-high 49 tackles while Buffalo’s defense as a whole has combined for 7 sacks and an interception through 5 games this season.
Massachusetts Minutemen @ Buffalo Bulls Betting Trends: Week 7
Why the Buffalo Bulls will win
- Massachusetts has lost 22 of its last 23 games as an underdog.
- Buffalo has won each of its last three games against Massachusetts.
- Massachusetts has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 11 road games in October.
- Buffalo has covered the spread in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
- Massachusetts has lost the first half in eight of its last nine games as a road underdog.
- Buffalo has won the first quarter in each of its last four games against teams from Massachusetts.
Why the Massachusetts Minutemen will win
- Buffalo has lost each of its last four home games against conference opponents.
- The road team has won four of the last five games between Massachusetts and Buffalo.
- Buffalo has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games as a favorite.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of Buffalo’s last four games at Broadview Stadium.
- The road team has won the first half in each of Massachusetts’ last three games.
- The road team has won the first quarter in each of Massachusetts’ last three games.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Massachusetts’ last eight games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Buffalo’s last three games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.
Buffalo Bulls Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Chance Morrow leads the league for targets (70) this season.
Massachusetts Minutemen Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Jahmad Harmon ranks T4th amongst FBS players for interceptions (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Buffalo has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
- Buffalo ranks 127th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (8.7).
- Massachusetts ranks 7th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (2.2).
- Massachusetts ranks T17th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (94.1).
UMass Minutemen vs. Buffalo Bulls Prediction
I’m on Buffalo here. Sure, you could make a case that Buffalo could’ve easily lost their two FCS games, but this Buffalo team has shown some life. On the flipside, UMass is starting to fall apart after their strong start to the year as the injuries are piling up and I’m looking for the Bulls to take advantage of the Minutemen’s injury woes. Give me Buffalo.
