College Football

BYU vs Iowa State Prediction Football Picks Today 10/9/26

Iowa State Cyclones (3-2) vs. BYU Cougars (4-0)
October 9, 2026 10:15 pm EDT
The Line: BYU Cougars -10.5 / Iowa State Cyclones 10.5; Over/Under: 46.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Iowa State Cyclones and BYU Cougars meet Friday in week 6 college football action at LaVell Edwards Stadium. Here’s a BYU vs. Iowa State Prediction. This article will include a BYU vs. Iowa State Pick.

Iowa State Cyclones Betting Preview

The Iowa State Cyclones lost to Utah, beat West Virginia, and they play Arizona next. Iowa State has won 6 of its last 8 games. Jaylen Raynor is completing 58 percent of his passes for 903 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Dominic Overby and Cody Jackson have combined for 403 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Omari Hayes has 14 receptions.

The Iowa State Cyclones’ ground game is averaging 197.4 yards per contest, and Aiden Flora leads the way with 594 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa State is allowing 21.2 points and 321.6 yards per game. Sullivan Schlimgen leads the Iowa State Cyclones with 46 tackles, Isaac Terell has 3 sacks, and Beni Ngoyi has 1 interception.

BYU Cougars Betting Preview

The BYU Cougars beat Colorado State and TCU, and they play Notre Dame next. BYU looks to start 5-0 for a third straight season. Bear Bachmeier is completing 64 percent of his passes for 705 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Legend Glasker and Kyler Kasper have combined for 417 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Walker Lyons has 8 receptions.

The BYU Cougars’ ground game averages 235.5 yards per contest, and LJ Martin leads with 344 yards and 3 touchdowns. On defense, BYU allows 14.3 points and 268 yards per game. Cade Uluave leads the BYU Cougars with 20 tackles, Tausili Akana has 3.5 sacks, and Evan Johnson has 1 interception.

Why the BYU Cougars will win

  • BYU has won each of its last 15 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Iowa State has lost 14 of its last 16 games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in each of BYU’s last 10 games.
  • Iowa State has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 13 games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
  • The team ranked 8th in the AP Poll has won the first quarter in six of its last seven games.
  • Iowa State has lost the first half in each of its last 12 games as an underdog against top-15 AP-ranked teams.

Why the Iowa State Cyclones will win

  • Iowa State has won three of its last four October games as an underdog against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
  • Iowa State has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 October games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
  • BYU has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.
  • Iowa State has won the first half in eight of its last 10 games in October.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Iowa State’s last four road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Six of BYU’s last seven October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

BYU Cougars Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 6, Cannon DeVries is one of only 15 players in the FBS to have a kick return touchdown this season.

Iowa State Cyclones Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 6, Aiden Flora ranks 7th amongst FBS players for rushing yards (594) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • BYU ranks 4th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (57.4).
  • BYU ranks 9th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (75.0).
  • Iowa State ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
  • Iowa State ranks 27th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (172.4).

BYU vs Iowa State Prediction

Iowa State can be limited offensively at times, and its defense is hit or miss in terms of stopping the run. There’s a world where BYU bullies the Cyclones in the trenches and pulls away in the second half. With that said, Iowa State looked good last week, and it did go into Iowa and nearly pulled off an upset as a two-touchdown underdog. You can argue BYU is a similar team to Iowa in terms of its style of play. This is a look-ahead spot for BYU with Notre Dame on deck. LJ Martin is also out for the next month or so. We’re getting a hook on top of a key number. Give me the Cyclones and the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Iowa State Cyclones 10.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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