Cal vs Arizona State Prediction Football Picks 9-30-23
California Golden Bears (2-2) vs Arizona State Sun Devils (1-3)
2023-09-30 15:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: California Golden Bears -12 -- Over/Under: 50.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Arizona State Sun Devils and Cal Golden Bears meet Saturday in week 5 college football action at California Memorial Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview
The Arizona State Sun Devils need a win here to snap a 3-game losing streak. Arizona State has lost 6 of its last 7 road games. Jaden Rashada is completing 56.7 percent of his passes for 403 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception. Elijhah Badger and Xavier Guillory have combined for 353 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jalin Conyers has 11 receptions. The Arizona State Sun Devils ground game is averaging 94.3 yards per contest, and Cameron Skattebo leads the way with 259 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Arizona State is allowing 29.8 points and 354.8 yards per game. Chris Edmonds leads the Arizona State Sun Devils with 30 tackles, Prince Dorbah has 3.5 sacks and Jordan Clark has 3 pass deflections.
Arizona State Sun Devils Team Facts
- The favorite has won each of Arizona State’s last 10 games.
- Arizona State has covered the spread in each of its last four games against California.
- Arizona State has lost the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Ten of Arizona State’s last 11 September games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
Cal Golden Bears Betting Preview
The Cal Golden Bears look for their second home win to get above a .500 record. Cal has won 5 of its last 9 home games. Ben Finley is completing 62 percent of his passes for 533 yards, 3 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Jeremiah Hunter and Trond Grizzell have combined for 409 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Taj Davis has 13 receptions. The Cal Golden Bears ground game is averaging 216.3 yards per contest, and Jaydn Ott leads the way with 306 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Cal is allowing 27.8 points and 342.8 yards per game. Kaleb Elarms-Orr leads the Cal Golden Bears with 29 tackles, Xavier Carlton has 2 sacks and Nohl Williams has 2 interceptions.
California Golden Bears Team Facts
- The favorite has won each of California’s last 10 games.
- California has covered the spread in seven of its last eight home games against conference opponents.
- California has lost the first half in nine of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
- Five of California’s last six games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- California was one of only 27 FBS teams to lose 2+ games when leading after Q3 last season.
- California ranked 28th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game last season (8.8).
Randy’s Pick
The Arizona State Sun Devils haven’t looked good against FBS competition, as their only win came against Southern Utah, and they’re 126th in scoring offense and 105th in scoring defense. Not much Arizona State does well on either side of the ball. The Cal Golden Bears are an above average offensive team, and they had their moments on the road against Washington, which is encouraging the rest of the way. It’s hard to get behind Arizona State. Give me Cal in comfortable home victory.