College Football

California vs Miami Prediction 10-5-24 College Football Picks

Miami-FL Hurricanes (5-0) vs. California Golden Bears (3-1)
October 5, 2024 10:30 pm EDT
The Line: California Golden Bears +10.5 / Miami-FL Hurricanes -10.5; Over/Under: +54.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Hurricanes and Cal Golden Bears meet Saturday in week 6 college football action at California Memorial Stadium. Here’s a California vs Miami Prediction. This article will include a California vs Miami Pick.

Miami Hurricanes Betting Preview

The Miami Hurricanes beat South Florida and Virginia Tech, and they play Louisville next. The Miami Hurricanes have won 3 straight road games. Cam Ward is completing 70.2 percent of his passes for 1,782 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Xavier Restrepo and Isaiah Horton have combined for 734 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Elijah Arroyo has 11 receptions.

The Miami Hurricanes ground game is averaging 193 yards per contest, and Damien Martinez leads the way with 250 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 15 points and 265 yards per game. Francisco Mauigoa leads the Miami Hurricanes with 30 tackles, Tyler Baron has 4.5 sacks and Mishael Powell has 3 interceptions.

Cal Golden Bears Betting Preview

The Cal Golden Bears beat San Diego State, lost to Florida State, and they play Pittsburgh next. Cal has won 3 straight home games. Fernando Mendoza is completing 67.5 percent of his passes for 892 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Nyziah Hunter and Corey Dyches have combined for 306 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Mason Starling has 8 receptions.

The Cal Golden Bears ground game is averaging 145.8 yards per contest, and Jaivian Thomas leads the way with 267 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Cal is allowing 12.8 points and 287.5 yards per game. Teddye Buchanan leads the Cal Golden Bears with 40 tackles, Xavier Carlton has 3.5 sacks and Nohl Williams has 4 interceptions.

Why the Miami Hurricanes will win

  • California has lost each of its last nine games against AP-ranked teams.
  • The favorite has won each of California’s last 16 games at California Memorial Stadium.
  • Miami (FL) has covered the spread in each of its last four road games.
  • California has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of California’s last seven games has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of Miami (FL)’s last six October games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • California ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • California ranks T6th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (1.8).
  • Miami (FL) ranks 1st among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (25.6).
  • Miami (FL) ranks 1st among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (392.6).

California vs Miami Prediction

Miami had its scare last week against Virginia Tech, which should help the Canes regain focus after all the hype. Outside of that game, the Hurricanes have looked like a title contender. The California Golden Bears will be amped up for this game with a top-10 team coming to town and College Gameday as well. The problem is Cal doesn’t have the offense to scare Miami and just struggled to do anything against a pitiful FSU team. There’s a massive talent gap between Miami and Cal. This should be a comfortable road win for the Hurricanes.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami-FL Hurricanes -10.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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