Central Michigan vs San Diego State Prediction 9-28-24 College Football Picks

The San Diego State Aztecs and Central Michigan Chippewas meet Saturday in week 5 college football action at Kelly/Shorts Stadium. Here’s a Central Michigan vs San Diego State Prediction. This article will include a Central Michigan vs San Diego State Pick.

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs lost to Oregon State and California, and they play Hawaii next. San Diego State has lost 3 straight road games. Danny O’Neil is completing 57.9 percent of his passes for 321 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Louis Brown IV and Jordan Napier have combined for 253 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Ja’Sahun Poke has 10 receptions.

The San Diego State Aztecs ground game is averaging 145.3 yards per contest, and Marquez Cooper leads the way with 363 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, San Diego State is allowing 22 points and 357.7 yards per game. Tano Letuli leads the San Diego State Aztecs with 19 tackles, Trey White has 3 sacks and JD Coffey III has 1 interception.

Central Michigan Chippewas Betting Preview

The Central Michigan Chippewas lost to Illinois, beat Ball State and plays Ohio next. Central Michigan has won 6 of its last 7 home games. Joe Labas is completing 59.3 percent of his passes for 803 yards, 6 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Evan Boyd and Chris Parker have combined for 397 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Solomon Davis has 9 receptions.

The Central Michigan Chippewas ground game is averaging 192.3 yards per contest, and B.J. Harris leads the way with 232 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Central Michigan is allowing 31.5 points and 351 yards per game. Jordan Kwiatkowski leads the Central Michigan Chippewas with 38 tackles, Fernando Sanchez III has 1.5 sacks and Aakeem Snell has 1 interception.

Why the Central Michigan Chippewas will win

• San Diego State has lost each of its last six games in September.
• Central Michigan has won each of its last six home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• San Diego State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Central Michigan has covered the spread in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
• San Diego State has lost the first half in each of its last five games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Central Michigan’s last four September games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of San Diego State’s last five games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Central Michigan ranks T9th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (15.5).
• Central Michigan ranks 113th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (15.3).
• San Diego State ranks 134th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (0.0).
• San Diego State ranks 134th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (2.0).

Central Michigan vs San Diego State Prediction

I’m not excited to back Central Michigan, a team that’s 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games overall and 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games as a home favorite. However, San Diego State can’t stop the run defensively and is awful on the offensive side. San Diego State has scored a combined 10 points in its last two games. Central Michigan has enough offense to win this game, and we’re not being asked to lay anything crazy. Give me the Chippewas for a rare cover on Saturday afternoon.