Air Force Falcons (3-8) vs. Colorado State Rams (2-9)
November 28, 2025 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado State Rams 2.5 / Air Force Falcons -2.5; Over/Under: 45.5
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In this article we will formulate a Colorado State vs Air Force prediction for this College Football game on Friday, November 28th at Canvas Stadium in Fort Collins, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 14 matchup.
Colorado State Rams Betting Preview
The Colorado State Rams are 2-9 (1-6) this season after they lost to Boise State by a score of 49-21 in their last game. Colorado State trailed 27-7 at halftime and allowed 22 points in the second half for the loss. The Rams were out gained by a total of 533-332, went 6-13 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 4-1 in the game. Darius Curry went 26-46 for 293 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions, while also rushing for 23 yards on six carries. Rocky Beers led the receivers with seven catches for 94 yards and one score in the loss.
Prior to that game, Colorado State lost to New Mexico by a score of 20-17 and UNLV by a score of 42-10. The Rams have lost five games in a row and they are currently last in the Mountain West standings. Colorado State has scored 18.5 points per game with 206.2 passing yards and 117.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 29.8 points against per game this season. Darius Curry is suspended for this game for spitting on Boise State players, so I am not sure what Colorado State plans to do at quarterback, while Rocky Beers has 29 receptions for 346 yards and six scores this season.
Air Force Falcons Betting Preview
The Air Force Falcons are 3-8 (2-5) this year after they lost to New Mexico by a score of 20-3 in their last game. Air Force trailed 17-0 at halftime and only managed three points in the second half for the loss. The Falcons were out gained by a total of 277-161, went 5-13 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Josh Johnson went 3-6 for 46 yards and one interception, while Kemper Hodges rushed 20 times for 50 yards. Jonah Dawson led the receivers with two catches for 28 yards in the loss.
Prior to that game, Air Force lost to UConn by a score of 26-16, but did beat San Jose State by a score of 26-16 before that. The Falcons have lost three of their last four games and they are currently tied for eighth in the Mountain West standings. Air Force has scored 29.1 points per game with 148.9 passing yards and 256.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 31.2 points against per game this season. Josh Johnson has thrown for 270 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Owen Allen has rushed for 643 yards and three scores on 107 carries this year.
Why the Air Force Falcons will win
- Colorado State has lost each of its last 12 games as an underdog against teams from Colorado.
- Air Force has won each of its last six November games against Colorado State.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the last eight games between Air Force and Colorado State.
- Colorado State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.
- Colorado State has lost the first half in eight of its last nine games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Air Force’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eleven of Colorado State’s last 13 games in Colorado have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Colorado State ranks 136th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-8.5).
- Colorado State has lost the second quarter in each of its last five games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
- Air Force ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (11.4).
- Air Force ranks 134th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (11.2).
Colorado State vs Air Force Prediction
Both of these teams have had plenty of struggles this season and they are towards the bottom of the conference standings, but they can finish with a win here. Colorado State has lost five games in a row and they have scored 21 points or fewer in all five. Air Force has lost three of their last four and their offense hasn’t been much better. The Falcons have been better defensively and I think that will be the difference here, as Colorado State will struggle to stop the Air Force offense. Take the Falcons to cover.
David Racey is 140-118 (54%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!
