Colorado vs Texas Tech Prediction Football Picks Today 10/3/26

In this article we will formulate a Colorado vs Texas Tech prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 3rd at Folsom Field in Boulder, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 5 matchup. 

Colorado Buffaloes Betting Preview

The Colorado Buffaloes are 2-2 (0-1) this season after they lost to Baylor by a score of 23-13 last week. Colorado trailed 10-3 at halftime, but they tied the game at 13 in the fourth, before allowing the last 10 points for the loss. The Buffaloes out gained Baylor by a total of 363-337, went 3-15 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Isaac Wilson threw for 156 yards and one touchdown, while Joseph Williams caught 11 passes for 127 yards and one score. Micah Welch rushed nine times for 35 yards in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Colorado lost to Northwestern by a score of 41-7, but did beat Weber State by a score of 52-21 before that. The Buffaloes have scored 21.5 points per game with 242.5 passing yards and 156.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 24.5 points against per game this season. Julian Lewis has been the main starting QB for Colorado, but it sounds like Isaac Wilson will be starting here. 

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 4-0 (1-0) this year after they defeated Sam Houston by a score of 49-14 in their last game. Texas Tech led 21-14 at halftime and they added 28 points in the second half for the cover. The Red Raiders out gained SHSU by a total of 470-269, went 4-9 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 4-3 in the game. Will Hammond threw for 224 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions, while Kenny Johnson caught three passes for 60 yards. Cameron Dickey rushed 12 times for 91 yards and two scores in the win. 

Prior to that game, Texas Tech defeated Houston by a score of 28-26 and Oregon State by a score of 35-24. The Red Raiders have scored 36.3 points per game with 250.8 passing yards and 178.8 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 18.5 points against per game this season. Will Hammond has thrown for 968 yards with four touchdowns and five interceptions this year. 

Why the Colorado Buffaloes will win

• The home team has won four of Colorado’s last five games.
• Texas Tech has lost three of its last four October road games as an AP-ranked team.
• Colorado has covered the spread in each of its last seven games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
• Texas Tech has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.
• Colorado has won the first quarter in four of its last five games as a home underdog.
• The home team has won the first half in each of Colorado’s last four games.

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

• Texas Tech has won each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
• Colorado has lost each of its last six games against conference opponents.
• Texas Tech has covered the spread in eight of its last nine road games against conference opponents.
• Colorado has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
• Texas Tech has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Colorado has lost the first half in each of its last seven games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Texas Tech’s last six October games as a road favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Colorado’s last five games against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Colorado Buffaloes Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 5, Lamont Lester ranks T10th amongst FBS players for sacks (4.0) this season.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 5, J’Koby Williams ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Colorado ranks 125th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (72.7).
• Colorado ranks T121st among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (8.5).
• Texas Tech ranks T13th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (75.0).
• Texas Tech ranks T14th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (19.8).

Colorado vs Texas Tech Prediction 

Texas Tech comes into this matchup undefeated on the season, but they have not looked as good as most people would have expected. The Red Raiders were sloppy against Sam Houston and Oregon State, and they need to stop turning the ball over. Colorado has dropped two in a row and they have scored 20 total points in those two games. The Buffaloes are overmatched this game, but I think they could keep it close, as Texas Tech continues to struggle to cover. Take Colorado and the points here.