College Football

FAU vs Navy Prediction Football Picks Today 9/12/26

Navy Midshipmen (1-0) vs. Florida Atlantic Owls (0-1)
September 12, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Florida Atlantic Owls 4.5 / Navy Midshipmen -4.5; Over/Under: 58.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Navy Midshipmen and Florida Atlantic Owls meet Saturday in week 2 college football action at Flagler Credit Union Stadium. Here’s a FAU vs Navy Prediction. This article will include a FAU vs Navy Pick.

Navy Midshipmen Betting Preview

The Navy Midshipmen beat Towson, and they play UAB next. The Navy Midshipmen look for their third straight 2-0 start to the season. Braxton Woodson is completing 50 percent of his passes for 21 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Michael Barrow and Joshua Guerin have combined for 21 receiving yards on 3 catches.

The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 506 yards per contest, and Braxton Woodson leads the way with 200 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 15 points and 246 yards per game. MarcAnthony Parker leads the Navy Midshipmen with 9 tackles, Aiden Lyczek has 1 sack, and Marcus Bleazard has 1 sack.

Florida Atlantic Owls Betting Preview

The Florida Atlantic Owls lost to Florida, and they play FIU next. The Florida Atlantic Owls hope to avoid their second 0-2 start in the last three seasons. Caden Veltkamp is completing 65.4 percent of his passes for 276 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Kelby Valsin and Easton Messer have combined for 165 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Branden Hoch has 5 receptions.

The Florida Atlantic Owls’ ground game is averaging 120 yards per contest, and Ethan Ervin leads the way with 50 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, FAU is allowing 66 points and 624 yards per game. Leon Hart Jr. leads the Florida Atlantic Owls with 7 tackles, Bo Simpson-Nealy has 1 pass deflection, and Jayden Sweeney has 1 interception.

Why the Florida Atlantic Owls will win

  • Florida Atlantic has won five of its last six home openers.
  • Navy has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games as a favorite.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in four of Navy’s last five games.
  • Florida Atlantic has won the first half in 13 of its last 16 September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Navy Midshipmen will win

  • Florida Atlantic has lost each of its last 21 September games as an underdog.
  • Navy has won each of its last 12 games as a favorite.
  • Navy has covered the spread in each of its last six road games in September.
  • Florida Atlantic has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six September games as a home underdog.
  • The favorite has won the first half in each of Florida Atlantic’s last eight games.
  • The favorite has won the first quarter in each of Florida Atlantic’s last eight games.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of Navy’s last nine games in September have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Florida Atlantic’s last four games in September have gone OVER the total points line.

Florida Atlantic Owls Player Prop Facts

  • Easton Messer has recorded 50+ receiving yards in seven consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 2.

Navy Midshipmen Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 2, Michael Barrow ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Florida Atlantic ranks 138th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (66.0).
  • Florida Atlantic has lost the first quarter in each of its last four games- equal to the longest active streak in the FBS.
  • Navy ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • Navy ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).

FAU vs Navy Prediction

FAU has some showing and proving to do as these last couple of seasons have been underwhelming. It’s also not easy to play Florida on the road and then prepare for this triple-option offense of Navy. The players change, but the scheme remains the same, and if you’re not disciplined or prepared, it can get ugly. FAU allowed 66 points to the Gators, and while this is a drop-off in talent, it could be a similar result. This line feels soft. Give me Navy and the small number.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Navy Midshipmen -4.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

Related Articles

Back to top button