Fiesta Bowl: Michigan vs TCU 12/31/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Michigan Wolverines and TCU Horned Frogs clash Saturday in the college football Fiesta Bowl at State Farm Stadium. The TCU Horned Frogs look to win 13 games for the second time in school history. The Michigan Wolverines have a chance at 14 wins for the first time in school history.

The TCU Horned Frogs have won 6 of their last 7 non-home games. Max Duggan is completing 64.9 percent of his passes for 3,321 yards, 30 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Quentin Johnston and Taye Barber have combined for 1,496 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Derius Davis has 35 receptions. The TCU Horned Frogs ground game is averaging 200 yards per contest, and Kendre Miller leads the way with 1,342 yards and 17 touchdowns. Defensively, TCU is allowing 25 points and 384.6 yards per game. Johnny Hodges leads the TCU Horned Frogs with 76 tackles, Dee Winters has 7.5 sacks and Bud Clark has 4 interceptions.

The Michigan Wolverines have won 5 straight non-home games. J.J. McCarthy is completing 65.3 percent of his passes for 2,376 yards, 17 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Ronnie Bell and Cornelius Johnson have combined for 1,223 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Luke Schoonmaker has 34 receptions. The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 243 yards per contest, and Blake Corum leads the way with 1,463 yards and 18 touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 13.4 points and 277.1 yards per game. Junior Colson leads the Michigan Wolverines with 95 tackles, Mike Morris has 7 sacks and Rod Moore has 3 interceptions.

The Horned Frogs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 bowl games and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Wolverines are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 bowl games and 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 games overall. The over is 10-4 in Wolverines last 14 bowl games.

The Michigan Wolverines are the more talented team from top to bottom, and their defense is downright scary. Michigan should be favored to win this game. However, we’re not going to browse over TCU like this team isn’t good. Duggan is a gamer at the quarterback position, and he leads one of the more balanced offenses in the country. TCU has also improved defensively as the season plays out, which includes 14 or fewer points allowed twice in their last four games. This line is disrespectful toward TCU. Give me the points.