College Football

Florida Atlantic vs South Florida Prediction 11-1-24 College Football Picks

USF Bulls (3-4) vs. Florida Atlantic Owls (2-5)
November 1, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Florida Atlantic Owls +2.5 / USF Bulls -2.5; Over/Under: +51.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The South Florida Bulls and the Florida Atlantic Owls meet Friday in college football action from FAU Stadium. Here’s a Florida Atlantic vs South Florida Prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Florida Atlantic vs South Florida pick.

South Florida Bulls Betting Preview

The Bulls got off to a 2-1 start this year, losing in a blowout to Alabama in between wins over Bethune-Cookman and Southern Miss. Three more consecutive losses followed for USF as they dropped to Miami, Tulane, and Memphis.

In their last outing versus UAB, the Bulls were able to get back into the win column. USF posted 28 second-half points during a 35-25 victory. QB Bryce Archie finished with 201 yards, two scores, and an interception, while Kelley Joiner led the rush with 94 yards and two TDs.

FAU Owls Betting Preview

Over on the Florida Atlantic side, they went 1-3 in their first quartet. The lone win was over FIU 38-20; otherwise, it was losses to Michigan State, Army, and UConn. After a win over Wagner, the Owls took another loss to North Texas 41-37.

Back on October 19 in their last outing, the Owls posted another loss. FAU gave up points in every quarter on the way to a 38-24 result. QB Cam Fancher had just 96 yards but led the rush with 56 yards and two touchdowns.

Why the Florida Atlantic Owls will win

  • South Florida has lost each of its last 12 road games in November.
  • The home team has won four of Florida Atlantic’s last five games.
  • South Florida has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
  • The home team has covered the spread in four of Florida Atlantic’s last five games.
  • South Florida has lost the first half in seven of its last eight road games against conference opponents.

Why the South Florida Bulls will win

  • Florida Atlantic has lost each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
  • The favorite has won each of South Florida’s last seven games.
  • Florida Atlantic has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven home games in November.
  • The road team has covered the spread in five of South Florida’s last six games.
  • Florida Atlantic has lost the first half in four of its last five home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Ten of Florida Atlantic’s last 11 home games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Seven of South Florida’s last eight road games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Florida Atlantic vs South Florida Prediction

I’ll probably just stick with South Florida here. The Bulls scored 35 points in their latest outing in an overall adequate—if not super impressive—offensive effort. South Florida posted 355 total yards in that one (201 passing) but also had a couple of turnovers and held the ball for just 25:18. An opportunistic defense (two takeaways) and nine UAB penalties really helped.

As for FAU, they put up just 203 total yards in their loss to UTSA. The Owls had only 10 first downs, two turnovers and went just 4-of-14 on third-down tries. Getting back home may give FAU a lift, but I don’t think they’ll have enough offensive power to cover here.

Andrew's Free Pick: South Florida Bulls -2.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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