Florida State vs Boston College Prediction Football Picks Today 11/7/26

Florida State vs Boston College Prediction

In this Florida State vs Boston College prediction, Florida State is coming as -6.5 road favorites. Florida State has both a worse record both straight up and against the spread than Boston College and has been in bad shape lately, so perhaps the wrong team is favored in this matchup. Florida State has lost three straight by playing terrible defense, allowing 123 total points in that span and has been winless on the road this season. On the flip side, Boston College has won two of its last three games and is 4-1 against the spread in its last 5, while playing better defense than Florida State throughout the season and have won their previous head-to-head meeting by 28-13 in Florida. The value here lies with the home dog, so take Boston College and grab those +6.5 points in this one.

Boston College Eagles Preview

Boston College has a 4-4 record and a 2-3 record in the ACC. They are coming off a 2-47 road loss against Duke and will face Notre Dame and Syracuse next.

Offensively, Boston College averages 21.6 points per game, ranking 112th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 26.5 points per game, which is 91st. Boston College averages 355.4 total yards per game (187.3 passing and 168.1 rushing), while allowing 339.4 total yards per game (150.9 rushing and 188.5 passing). They average 64.0 plays per game and 5.6 yards per play on offense, while allowing 65.6 plays per game and 5.2 yards per play on defense. Boston College averages 19.9 first downs per game on offense and 20.4 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 1.5 times per game and are forcing 1.8 turnovers per game.

Mason McKenzie leads Boston College with 1,450 passing yards with 57.4% completed passes and 8 touchdowns, and he leads the team in rushing yards with 638. Javarius Green has a team-high 308 receiving yards and 28 receptions. Defensively, Anthony Palano has a team-high 69 total tackles (34 of them solo), while Demetrius Ballard and E’Lla Boykin are tied for the team lead with 4.5 sacks.

Florida State Seminoles Preview

Florida State has a 3-5 record and a 1-4 record in the ACC. They are coming off a 24-36 home loss against Clemson and will face Pitt and NC State next.

Offensively, Florida State averages 30.6 points per game, ranking 55th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 28.9 points per game, which is 105th. Florida State averages 414.4 total yards per game (248.6 passing and 165.8 rushing), while allowing 424.4 total yards per game (176.5 rushing and 247.9 passing). They average 64.3 plays per game and 6.4 yards per play on offense, while allowing 69.5 plays per game and 6.1 yards per play on defense. Florida State averages 20.1 first downs per game on offense and 21.8 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 1.8 times per game and are forcing 0.8 turnovers per game.

Ashton Daniels leads Florida State with 1,968 passing yards with 59.3% completed passes and 14 touchdowns, and he leads the team in rushing yards with 375. Duce Robinson has a team-high 438 receiving yards and 24 receptions. Defensively, Chris Jones has a team-high 56 total tackles (30 of them solo), while Rylan Kennedy leads the team with 6.0 sacks.

Florida State Seminoles @ Boston College Eagles Betting Trends: Week 10

Why the Boston College Eagles will win

• The underdog has won three of the last four games between Florida State and Boston College at Alumni Stadium (Boston).
• Florida State has lost 15 of its last 18 games against conference opponents.
• Florida State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The underdog has covered the spread in each of the last four games between Florida State and Boston College at Alumni Stadium (Boston).
• Florida State has lost the first half in each of its last four November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

• Boston College has lost six of its last seven games against teams from Florida.
• Florida State has won each of its last three road games against Boston College.
• Boston College has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four home games against teams from Florida.
• Florida State has won the first half in three of its last four games against Boston College.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Boston College’s last six November games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Florida State’s last four road games have gone OVER the total points line.

Boston College Eagles Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Javarius Green leads Boston College for receptions (28) this season.

Florida State Seminoles Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Ashton Daniels leads Florida State for touchdowns (12) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Boston College ranks T8th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (11).
• Boston College ranks 128th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (31.6).
• Florida State ranks 127th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (424.4).
• Florida State ranks T19th among FBS teams for sacks this season (22.0).