Florida Gators (6-5) vs. Florida State Seminoles (2-9)
November 30, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Florida State Seminoles +17 / Florida Gators -17; Over/Under: +45.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Florida Gators and Florida State Seminoles meet Saturday in week 14 college football action at Doak Campbell Stadium. Here’s a Florida State vs Florida Prediction. This article will include a Florida State vs Florida Pick.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Florida Gators just beat LSU and Ole Miss. The Florida Gators lost 2 of their last 3 road games. DJ Lagway is completing 58.5 percent of his passes for 1,477 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Elijah Badger and Chimere Dike have combined for 1,402 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Eugene Wilson III has 19 receptions.
The Florida Gators ground game is averaging 148.8 yards per contest, and Jadan Baugh leads the way with 522 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Florida is allowing 25.5 points and 406.2 yards per game. Trikweze Bridges leads the Florida Gators with 63 tackles, Tyreak Sapp has 6 sacks and Bryce Thornton has 3 interceptions.
Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview
The Florida State Seminoles lost to Notre Dame and beat Charleston Southern. Florida State has lost 4 of its last 6 home games. DJ Uiagalelei is completing 53.8 percent of his passes for 1,065 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Ja’Khi Douglas and Malik Benson have combined for 792 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Hykeem Williams has 15 receptions.
The Florida State Seminoles ground game is averaging 89.1 yards per contest, and Lawrance Toafili leads the way with 413 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Florida State is allowing 27.7 points and 387.5 yards per game. Shyheim Brown leads the Florida State Seminoles with 67 tackles, Patrick Payton has 4 sacks and Justin Cryer has 1 interception.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- The favorite has won each of the last 10 games between Florida and Florida State.
- Florida State has lost each of its last seven games as an underdog.
- Florida has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games.
- Florida State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games in November.
- Florida State has lost the first half in each of its last four games against opponents from the Southeastern Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Florida State’s last six November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Florida’s last five road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Florida State ranks 132nd among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (162).
- Florida State ranks 131st among FBS teams for points per game this season (15.8).
- Florida ranks 123rd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (3.4).
- Florida ranks 121st among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (251).
Florida State vs Florida Prediction
Massive line, but do you want anything to do with the Florida State Seminoles? Didn’t think so. The Florida Gators are coming off massive upsets over LSU and Ole Miss, and they’re heading in the right direction overall. The Gators are on a recruiting rampage over the last two weeks, and the vibes are high out of nowhere. It’s the opposite in Tallahassee. The favorite is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 games between FSU and Florida. I’ll lay the chalk.
