Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction 11/15/25 College Football Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction for this College Football Week 12 game on Saturday, November 15^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Ole Miss Rebels Preview

Ole Miss has a 9-1 record this season and is sitting 4th in the SEC. They are 6-4 ATS, 5-5 in Over/Under and have a 7-0 home record and a 2-1 away record. Ole Miss is coming off a 49-0 home win against The Citadel and will face Florida and Mississippi State next.

Offensively, Ole Miss averages 37.5 points per game, ranking 13th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 19.8 points per game, which is 25th. Ole Miss averages 489.4 total yards per game (305.5 passing and 183.9 rushing), while allowing 323.1 total yards per game (143.6 rushing and 179.5 passing).

Trinidad Chambliss leads Ole Miss with 2,356 passing yards with 64.0% completed passes and 13 touchdowns. Kewan Lacy leads the team in rushing yards with 912, while Harrison Wallace III has a team-high 36 receptions for 579 receiving yards. Defensively, T.J. Dudley has a team-high 63 total tackles (31 of them solo), while Princewill Umanmielen leads the team in sacks, with 4.5.

Florida Gators Preview

Florida has a 3-6 record this season and is sitting 11th in the SEC. They are 3-6 ATS, 3-6 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 0-4 away record. Florida is coming off a 7-38 road loss against Kentucky and will face Tennessee and Florida State next.

Offensively, Florida averages 20.4 points per game, ranking 116th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 22.4 points per game, which is 54th. Florida averages 341.0 total yards per game (217.0 passing and 124.0 rushing), while allowing 347.2 total yards per game (132.8 rushing and 214.4 passing).

DJ Lagway leads Florida with 1,762 passing yards with 64.5% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Jadan Baugh leads the team in rushing yards with 747, while Vernell Brown III has a team-high 33 receptions for 473 receiving yards. Defensively, Myles Graham has a team-high 51 total tackles (26 of them solo), while Kamran James leads the team in sacks, with 3.5.

Florida Gators @ Ole Miss Rebels Betting Trends: Week 12

Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win

• Ole Miss has won each of its last 10 games at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
• Florida has lost each of its last four road games.
• Florida has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four road games.
• Ole Miss has covered the spread in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
• Ole Miss has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
• Ole Miss has won the first half in each of its last seven games against conference opponents.

Why the Florida Gators will win

• Ole Miss has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven November games as a home favorite.
• The underdog has covered the spread in four of Florida’s last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Eleven of Ole Miss’ last 12 home games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Florida’s last five games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.

Ole Miss Rebels Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 12, Kewan Lacy ranks T1st amongst FBS players for touchdowns (16) this season.

Florida Gators Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 12, Jadan Baugh ranks 2nd in the Southeastern Conference amongst qualified players for catch rate (84.4%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Ole Miss has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
• Ole Miss ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (14.3).
• Florida has lost the fourth quarter in each of its last six games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
• Florida ranks 132nd among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (7.1).

Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction

In this Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction, Ole Miss is coming as -15.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 54 points. Ole Miss has been the superior team this season, having lost only once in their 10 games played, being undefeated in their 7 home games. They are a top-25 team in the country both offensively and defensively and are up against a struggling Florida team that is 2-6 in its last 8 games. Take Ole Miss to win this one comfortably, so lay the -15.5 points.