College Football

Florida vs South Carolina Prediction Football Picks Today 10/10/26

South Carolina Gamecocks (2-3) vs. Florida Gators (4-1)
October 10, 2026 12:45 pm EDT
The Line: Florida Gators -11.5 / South Carolina Gamecocks 11.5; Over/Under: 59.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The South Carolina Gamecocks and Florida Gators meet Saturday in week 6 college football action at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Here’s a Florida vs. South Carolina Prediction. This article will include a Florida vs. South Carolina Pick.

South Carolina Gamecocks Betting Preview

The South Carolina Gamecocks lost to Alabama and Kentucky, and they play Tennessee next. The South Carolina Gamecocks have lost 3 straight games. LaNorris Sellers is completing 60.5 percent of his passes for 1,059 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Mazeo Bennett Jr. and Nyck Harbor have combined for 396 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Donovan Murph has 7 receptions.

The South Carolina Gamecocks’ ground game averages 256 yards per contest, and Matt Fuller leads with 433 yards and 5 touchdowns. On defense, South Carolina allows 26.8 points and 331.6 yards per game. Justin Okoronkwo leads the South Carolina Gamecocks with 38 tackles, Anthony Addison has 3 sacks, and Peyton Williams has 1 interception.

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators beat Ole Miss, lost to Missouri, and they play Texas next. The Florida Gators have split their last 14 games. Aaron Philo is completing 69.4 percent of his passes for 1,114 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Dallas Wilson and Vernell Brown III have combined for 573 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while TJ Abrams has 8 receptions.

The Florida Gators’ ground game is averaging 216.4 yards per contest, and Jadan Baugh leads the way with 613 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Florida is allowing 27.2 points and 393 yards per game. Myles Graham leads the Florida Gators with 34 tackles, Jayden Woods has 4 sacks, and DJ Coleman has 2 interceptions.

Why the Florida Gators will win

  • South Carolina has lost each of its last nine games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Florida has won 12 of its last 13 October games at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
  • South Carolina has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
  • Florida has covered the spread in four of its last five October games at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
  • Florida has won the first half in each of its last 10 games as a favorite in Florida.
  • Florida has won the first quarter in 11 of its last 12 games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the South Carolina Gamecocks will win

  • The team ranked 16th in the AP Poll has lost each of its last three games.
  • The team ranked 16th in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games.
  • South Carolina has covered the spread in three of its last four road games in October.
  • South Carolina has won the first half in four of its last five games.
  • The underdog has won the first quarter in four of the last six games between South Carolina and Florida.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Florida’s last eight games against teams from South Carolina have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of South Carolina’s last eight games against teams from Florida have gone OVER the total points line.

Florida Gators Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 6, Jadan Baugh ranks T1st amongst FBS players for touchdowns (11) this season.

South Carolina Gamecocks Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 6, LaNorris Sellers is one of only six players in the FBS to record 1,000 passing yards and 250 rushing yards this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Florida has recorded the most home wins by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (2).
  • Florida ranks 5th among FBS teams for points per game this season (46.2).
  • South Carolina has given up the largest 1st quarter lead to win a game this season – 14 points vs Kentucky.
  • South Carolina ranks T136th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (100.0).

Florida vs South Carolina Prediction

I’m not thrilled to back South Carolina, especially on the road, but this is a lot of points to give a Florida defense that’s absolutely dreadful. Florida is 107th in total defense, 128th in passing defense, and 102nd in scoring defense. Missouri did anything and everything it wanted against Florida. While Sellers’ stock has dropped like a rock, he was at one point a legit NFL draft prospect. He should be able to have success against this Florida defense. I’ll grab the points with the Gamecocks.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: South Carolina Gamecocks 11.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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