Florida vs Tennessee Prediction Football Picks Today 11/22/25

In this article we will formulate a Florida vs Tennessee prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 22nd at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 13 matchup. 

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators are 3-7 (2-5) this season after they lost to Ole Miss by a score of 34-24 in their last game. Florida led 24-20 at halftime, but allowed 14 points in the fourth quarter for the loss. The Gators were out gained by a total of 538-326, went 6-13 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. DJ Lagway went 16-31 for 218 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Jadan Baugh rushed 15 times for 61 yards and one score. TJ Abrams led the receivers with three catches for 76 yards in the loss. The Florida defense recorded five sacks and seven tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Florida lost to Kentucky by a score of 38-7 and Georgia by a score of 24-20. The Gators have lost three games in a row and they are currently tied for 11th in the SEC standings. Florida has scored 20.8 points per game with 217.1 passing yards and 122.4 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 23.6 points against per game this season. DJ Lagway has thrown for 1,980 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions, while Jadan Baugh has rushed for 808 yards and six scores on 164 carries this season. 

Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview

The Tennessee Volunteers are 7-3 (3-3) this year after they defeated New Mexico State by a score of 42-9 last week. Tennessee led 21-3 at halftime and added 21 points in the third quarter for the blowout win. The Volunteers out gained NMSU by a total of 413-340, went 3-11 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at two in the game. Joey Aguilar went 17-23 for 204 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while DeSean Bishop rushed 16 times for 80 yards and one score. Chris Brazzell II led the receivers with three catches for 65 yards in the win. The Tennessee defense recorded three sacks and seven tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Tennessee lost to Oklahoma by a score of 33-27, but did beat Kentucky by a score of 56-34 before that. The Volunteers have alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they are currently tied for eighth in the SEC standings. Tennessee has scored 43.4 points per game with 318.3 passing yards and 176.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 28.9 points against per game this season. Joey Aguilar has thrown for 2,941 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions, while Chris Brazzell II has 52 receptions for 873 yards and eight scores this year. 

Why the Florida Gators will win

• Florida has won each of its last 11 home games against teams from Tennessee.
• Florida has covered the spread in each of its last nine home games against teams from Tennessee.
• Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Tennessee’s last seven games in Florida have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Nine of Florida’s last 10 games in Florida have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Florida has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 10+ points of any FBS team this season (5).
• Florida has lost the fourth quarter in each of its last seven games – longest active streak in the FBS.
• Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (14.5).
• Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (83.3).

Florida vs Tennessee Prediction 

Florida comes into this contest looking to snap their three game losing streak, but they were very competitive against Ole Miss and Georgia in that span. The Gators have had some defensive issues this season, but their defense plays best at home. Tennessee has been very inconsistent over their last five games and they have allowed at least 31 points in four of those five. The Volunteers have a dynamic offense that can score points in a hurry, but we have also seen them completely fall apart at times. I don’t trust either team in this matchup, but it feels like this is a matchup that Florida could potentially win. Take the Gators and the points. 

David Racey is 128-108 (54%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!