Fresno State vs Colorado State Prediction 11-23-24 College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Fresno State vs Colorado State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 23rd at Valley Children’s Stadium in Fresno, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 13 matchup. 

Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs are 5-5 (3-3) this year after they lost to Air Force by a score of 36-28 in their last game. Fresno State led 21-17 at halftime, but they allowed the first 19 points in the second half for the loss. The Bulldogs were outgained by a total of 358-284, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 1-4 on third down in the game. Mikey Keene threw for 289 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while Mac Dalena caught four passes for 89 yards and two scores. 

Prior to that loss, the Bulldogs lost to Hawaii by a score of 21-20 but did beat San Jose State and Nevada before that. The Fresno State offense has scored 27.8 points per game with 253.6 passing yards and 95.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 25.3 points per game this season. Mikey Keene has completed 70.4% of his passes for 2,487 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, while Elijah Gilliam has rushed for 457 yards and eight scores this year. 

Colorado State Rams Betting Preview

The Colorado State Rams are 7-3 (5-0) this season after they defeated Wyoming by a score of 24-10 in their last game. Colorado State led 17-3 at halftime and scored the first seven points in the second half to pull away for the win. The Rams outgained Wyoming by a total of 446-237, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 3-12 on third down in the game. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi threw for 192 yards and one touchdown, while Justin Marshall rushed for 104 yards on 16 carries. 

Prior to that victory, the Rams won four games in a row against New Mexico, Nevada, Air Force, and San Jose State. The CSU offense has scored 23.6 points per game with 184.7 passing yards and 187.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.7 points per game this season. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has completed 63.2% of his passes for 1,803 yards, eight touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Avery Morrow has rushed for 872 yards and nine scores. 

Why Colorado State will beat Fresno State

• Fresno State has lost each of its last four November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Colorado State has won seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
• Colorado State has covered the spread in each of its last seven games.
• Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Colorado State has won the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Six of Fresno State’s last seven home games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of Colorado State’s last six games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Fresno State ranks 132nd among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-5.8).
• Fresno State ranks 127th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (10.5).
• Colorado State ranks 8th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.1).
• Colorado State ranks T123rd among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (169).

Fresno State vs Colorado State Prediction 

Colorado State comes into this matchup trying to stay undefeated in conference play and get one game closer to the Conference Championship game, but they will be on the road here. The Rams have won five games in a row and their defense has played very well this year. Fresno State has lost two games in a row against Air Force and Hawaii, who are at the bottom of the MW standings, so they are struggling right now. I know Fresno State is the slight favorite and they are at home, but I am leaning towards Colorado State and their defense.