Fresno State vs Kent State Prediction Football Picks 9-23-23
Fresno State Bulldogs (3-0) vs Kent State Golden Flashes (1-2)
2023-09-23 22:30:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Fresno State Bulldogs -28 -- Over/Under: 50.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Kent State Golden Flashes and the Fresno State Bulldogs meet in week 4 college football action from Bulldog Stadium.
Kent State Nabs First Win
The Kent State Golden Flashes picked up their first win of the season, taking out FCS Central Connecticut State with a 38-10 win to improve to 1-2 on the year as a result. Michael Alaimo has thrown for 491 yards, a touchdowns and 3 interceptions while Gavin Garcia leads the Golden Flashes in rushing with 238 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns. Trell Harris leads Kent State’s receiving group with 11 grabs for 208 yards and a touchdown while Chrishon McCray has 105 receiving yards. On defense, Devin Nicholson has a team-high 22 total tackles while the Golden Flashes defense as a whole has 3 sacks and 4 interceptions this season.
Kent State Golden Flashes Team Facts
Kent State has lost each of its last 21 road games in September.
Kent State has covered the spread in each of its last five games in September.
Kent State has lost the first half in each of its last five road games against non-conference opponents.
Eight of Kent State’s last nine games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Fresno State Remains Unbeaten
The Fresno State Bulldogs picked up a 29-0 road win over Arizona State last time out to improve to 3-0 on the year. Mikey Keene has thrown for 880 yards, 8 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 65.2% passing while Elijah Gilliam has 248 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns this season. Erik Brooks has a team-high 28 receptions for 369 yards and 3 touchdowns while Jaelen Gill has 177 receiving yards and 17 receptions with a pair of touchdowns. On defense, Levelle Bailey has a team-high 19 total tackles while Carlton Johnson has 3 interceptions. As a team, Fresno State’s defense has 6 sacks and 6 interceptions this season.
Fresno State Bulldogs Team Facts
Fresno State has won each of its last 12 games.
Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Fresno State has won the first quarter in five of its last six games against non-conference opponents at Valley Children’s Stadium.
Fresno State has won the first half in 11 of its last 13 games against non-conference opponents at Valley Children’s Stadium.
Ten of Fresno State’s last 12 September home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
Fresno State ranked T10th among FBS teams for H2 win percentage last season (.714).
Fresno State ranked T12th among FBS teams for Q4 win percentage last season (.643).
Kent State ranked 25th among FBS teams for Q4 points allowed per game last season (5.1).
Kent State was one of only 26 FBS teams to win 2+ games when trailing after Q3 last season.
Chris’ Pick
I’m going with Fresno State here. It’s a massive number to lay with the Bulldogs, but I’ve really seen nothing from Kent State to suggest they’d be able to keep this game close. Sure, you can beat up on Central Connecticut State, but the games that we’ve seen Kent State in against above average opposition, they’ve gotten run over and I think this game is likely no different. I’m laying the points with Fresno State in a rout.