Fresno State vs New Mexico State Prediction 9-14-24 College Football Picks

The New Mexico State Aggies and Fresno State Bulldogs meet Saturday in week 3 college football action at Valley Children’s Stadium. Here’s a Fresno State vs New Mexico State Prediction. This article will include a Fresno State vs New Mexico State Pick.

New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies beat Southeast Missouri State, lost to Liberty, and play Sam Houston next. New Mexico State has won 5 of its last 7 road games. Parker Awad is completing 35 percent of his passes for 195 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Monte Watkins and PJ Johnson III have combined for 121 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Kordell David has 4 receptions.

The New Mexico State Aggies ground game is averaging 168.5 yards per contest, and Seth McGowan leads the way with 153 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico State is allowing 23 points and 412.5 yards per game. Tyler Martinez leads the New Mexico State Aggies with 13 tackles, Buddha Peleti has 1.5 sacks and Tayden Barnes has 1 interception.

Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs lost to Michigan, beat Sacramento State, and play New Mexico next. The Fresno State Bulldogs have won 6 of their last 7 home games. Mikey Keene is completing 64.8 percent of his passes for 593 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Mac Dalena and Jalen Moss have combined for 475 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Malik Sherrod has 5 receptions.

The Fresno State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 82 yards per contest, and Sherrod leads the way with 78 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Fresno State is allowing 30 points and 369 yards per game. Tuasivi Nomura leads the Fresno State Bulldogs with 17 tackles, Ezra Christensen has 1 sack and Cam Lockridge has 1 interception.

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

• New Mexico State has lost each of its last eight road openers.
• Fresno State has won each of its last six games in September.
• Fresno State has covered the spread in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
• New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five road openers.
• Fresno State has won the first quarter in seven of its last eight games against non-conference opponents at Valley Children’s Stadium.
• Fresno State has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against non-conference opponents at Valley Children’s Stadium.

Total Points Facts

• Each of New Mexico State’s last five games against non-conference opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Fresno State’s last four games against non-conference opponents at Valley Children’s Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Fresno State ranks T38th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (9.0).
• Fresno State has won the MW Championship in two of the last six seasons.
• New Mexico State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q2 win percentage this season (1.000).
• New Mexico State ranks T20th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (1.5).

Fresno State vs New Mexico State Prediction

The New Mexico State Aggies haven’t looked great through two games, and that includes allowing Southeast Missouri State to hang around. I doubt things get better on the road for the first time. The Fresno State Bulldogs have potential offensively, and let’s not forget that the game against Michigan was a one-score game with 10 minutes left. There’s a decent gap between New Mexico State and Fresno State. New Mexico State is 4-7 ATS in its last 11 games as a double-digit underdog. Give me Fresno State in a home beatdown.