Fresno State vs UNLV Prediction Football Picks 10-28-23
Fresno State Bulldogs (6-1) vs UNLV Rebels (6-1)
2023-10-28 22:30:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Fresno State Bulldogs -7.5 -- Over/Under: 58.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The UNLV Rebels and the Fresno State Bulldogs meet in week 9 college football action from Bulldog Stadium on Saturday night.
UNLV Edges Colorado State For 5th Straight
The UNLV Rebels come into this game after a 25-23 win over Colorado State last time out to improve to 6-1 on the year and clinch bowl eligibility. Jayden Maiava has thrown for 1,313 yards, 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 64.9% passing while Vincent Davis Jr. leads the Rebels with 388 rushing yards. Donavyn Lester has 325 rushing yards with 7 TDs and Jai’Den Thomas has 319 rushing yards and 7 scores as well. Ricky White leads UNLV with 39 receptions along with 559 receiving yards while Jacob De Jesus has 326 receiving yards. On defense, Jackson Woodard leads the Rebels with 59 total tackles while Jerrae Williams has 3 sacks and Jaxen Turner has 3 interceptions.
UNLV Rebels Team Facts
- UNLV has lost each of its last 11 October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- UNLV has covered the spread in each of its last six games as an underdog.
- UNLV has won the first half in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
- Each of UNLV’s last four games as an underdog against Fresno State have gone OVER the total points line.
Fresno State Takes Out Utah State
The Fresno State Bulldogs are coming into this one on the heels of a 37-32 win over Utah State last time out. Mikey Keene has thrown for 1,692 yards, 15 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 68.5% passing while Malik Sherrod has 432 rushing yards with 5 touchdowns and Elijah Gilliam has 325 rushing yards and 4 scores. Erik Brooks has a team-high 39 receptions for 551 receiving yards with 4 TDs and Jalen Moss has 390 receiving yards with 4 scores while Jaelen Gill has 34 grabs for 374 yards and a team-high 5 TDs. Four more Bulldogs have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Dean Clark has a team-high 42 total tackles while Jacob Holmes has 4 sacks and Carlton Johnson has 4 interceptions.
Fresno State Bulldogs Team Facts
- Fresno State has won 15 of its last 16 games.
- Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four October games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Fresno State has won the first half in each of its last three home games against conference opponents.
- Fresno State has won the first quarter in each of its last three home games against conference opponents.
- Each of the last four games between UNLV and Fresno State have gone OVER the total points line.
Chris’ Pick
I’m going to back the over here. The over’s been a fairly consistent trend when these two lock up, hitting in each of the last four meetings and the Bulldogs’ pass attack should feast on UNLV’s porous pass defense, while UNLV can put up points as well in this game look for the over to come through here.