College Football

Fresno State vs Washington State Prediction 10-12-24 College Football Picks

Washington State Cougars (4-1) vs. Fresno State Bulldogs (3-2)
October 12, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Fresno State Bulldogs +3.5 / Washington State Cougars -3.5; Over/Under: +61.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Washington State Cougars and Fresno State Bulldogs meet Saturday in week 7 college football action at Valley Children’s Stadium. Here’s a Fresno State vs Washington State Prediction. This article will include a Fresno State vs Washington State Pick.

Washington State Cougars Betting Preview

The Washington State Cougars beat San Jose State, lost to Boise State, and they play Hawaii next. The Washington State Cougars have lost 6 straight road games. John Mateer is completing 58.2 percent of his passes for 1,429 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Kyle Williams and Kris Hutson have combined for 843 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Josh Meredith has 19 receptions.

The Washington State Cougars ground game is averaging 197.4 yards per contest, and Mateer leads the way with 453 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Washington State is allowing 32.4 points and 468.6 yards per game. Kyle Thornton leads Washington State with 30 tackles, Andrew Edson has 2 sacks and Ethan O’Connor has 2 interceptions.

Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs beat New Mexico, lost to UNLV, and play Nevada next. The Fresno State Bulldogs have won 7 of their last 8 home games. Mikey Keene is completing 66.5 percent of his passes for 1,356 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Mac Dalena and Jalen Moss have combined for 820 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Raylen Sharpe has 25 receptions.

The Fresno State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 113.6 yards per contest, and Malik Sherrod leads the way with 196 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Fresno State is allowing 28 points and 362.2 yards per game. Tuasivi Nomura leads the Fresno State Bulldogs with 43 tackles, Korey Foreman has 2 sacks and Cam Lockridge has 3 interceptions.

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

  • Washington State has lost each of its last seven games in October.
  • Fresno State has won each of its last three October games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Fresno State has covered the spread in each of its last six October games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Washington State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Fresno State has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against non-conference opponents at Valley Children’s Stadium.
  • Fresno State has won the first quarter in eight of its last nine games against non-conference opponents at Valley Children’s Stadium.

Total Points Facts

  • Six of Washington State’s last seven October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of Fresno State’s last five games against non-conference opponents at Valley Children’s Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Fresno State ranks 132nd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (13.8).
  • Fresno State ranks T125th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (17.8).
  • Washington State ranks 3rd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (14.8).
  • Washington State ranks 7th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (25.4).

Fresno State vs Washington State Prediction

The Washington State Cougars have been the better team this season, and they have the offense to take control of this game. However, there’s value to getting a home dog with extra time to prepare. Fresno State’s passing game should also have success against a Washington State defense that’s 128th against the pass. Also, Fresno State is 10-1-1 ATS in its last 12 games as a home underdog. Five of those 10 covers were outright wins. Give me Fresno State and the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs +3.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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