Georgia State vs Arkansas State Prediction 11-16-24 College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a Georgia State vs Arkansas State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 16th at Center Parc Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 12 matchup. 

Georgia State Panthers Betting Preview

The Georgia State Panthers are 2-7 (0-5) this year after they lost to James Madison by a score of 38-7 in their last game. Georgia State cut the deficit to 14-7 in the second quarter, but they allowed the last 24 points in the game in the loss. The Panthers were out gained by a total of 452-259, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 4-14 on third down in the game. Zach Gibson threw for 213 yards and one touchdown, while Freddie Brock rushed for 24 yards on nine carries. 

Prior to that loss, the Panthers lost five games in a row and allowed at least 33 points in four of them. The Georgia State offense has scored 20.8 points per game with 245.8 passing yards and 123.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 31.9 points against per game this season. Zach Gibson has completed 67.9% of his passes for 903 yards, six touchdowns, and one interception, while Freddie Brock has rushed for 599 yards and three scores. 

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 5-4 (3-2) this season after they lost to Louisiana by a score of 55-19 in their last game. Arkansas State allowed the first 31 points in the game and they never had a chance to keep it close. The Red Wolves were out gained by a total of 579-401, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and went 6-13 on third down in the game. Jaylen Raynor threw for 167 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Ja’Quez Cross rushed for 81 yards on 14 carries. 

Prior to that game, the Red Wolves defeated Troy by a score of 34-31 and Southern Miss by a score of 44-28. The Arkansas State offense has scored 23.4 points per game with 244.1 passing yards and 146.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 34 points against per game this season. Jaylen Raynor has completed 61.4% of his passes for 2,034 yards, eight touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Ja’Quez Cross has rushed for 467 yards and one score. 

Why Arkansas State will cover

• Georgia State has lost each of its last nine games in November.
• The underdog has won four of Georgia State’s last five games at Center Parc Stadium.
• Georgia State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The underdog has covered the spread in each of Georgia State’s last five games at Center Parc Stadium.
• Georgia State has lost the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Georgia State’s last four November home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of Arkansas State’s last seven November games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Georgia State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (1.4).
• Georgia State ranks 131st among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-6.6).
• Arkansas State ranks 130th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (463.9).
• Arkansas State ranks 5th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (76.9).

Georgia State vs Arkansas State Prediction 

Georgia State comes into this matchup looking for their first conference win of the season, but they have allowed 33 points or more in four straight games. Arkansas State is one win away from being bowl eligible, but they allowed 55 points in their last game. I don’t have faith in either of these teams, but I will take the points with Arkansas State, as their offense has been pretty solid.