College Football

Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction 10-12-24 College Football Picks

Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-4) vs. Georgia Bulldogs (4-1)
October 12, 2024 4:15 pm EDT
The Line: Georgia Bulldogs -33.5 / Mississippi State Bulldogs +33.5; Over/Under: +53.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and Georgia Bulldogs meet Saturday in week 7 college football action at Sanford Stadium. Here’s a Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction. This article will include a Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction Pick.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs lost to Florida and Texas, and they play Texas A&M next. Mississippi State has lost 4 straight road games. Blake Shapen is completing 68.5 percent of his passes for 974 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kevin Coleman Jr. and Mario Craver have combined for 582 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jordan Mosley has 13 receptions.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 97.7 yards per contest, and Johnnie Daniels leads the way with 233 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing 26 points and 388 yards per game. Isaac Smith leads the Mississippi State Bulldogs with 51 tackles, Braden Jennings has 1.5 sacks and Elijah Cannon has 1 interception.

Georgia Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Georgia Bulldogs recently lost to Alabama, beat Auburn, and they play Texas next. The Georgia Bulldogs haven’t lost a home game since October 2019. Carson Beck is completing 65.8 percent of his passes for 1,359 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Arian Smith and Dominic Lovett have combined for 530 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Dillon Bell has 18 receptions.

The Georgia Bulldogs ground game is averaging 131.6 yards per contest, and Trevor Etienne leads the way with 300 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Georgia is allowing 14.4 points and 298 yards per game. CJ Allen leads the Georgia Bulldogs with 26 tackles, Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins has 3 sacks and Malaki Starks has 1 interception.

Why the Georgia Bulldogs will win

  • Georgia has won each of its last 37 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Mississippi State has lost each of its last 12 games against top-5 AP-ranked teams.
  • Mississippi State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games against top-5 AP-ranked teams.
  • Georgia has covered the spread in six of its last eight October games at Sanford Stadium.
  • Georgia has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents at Sanford Stadium.
  • Mississippi State has lost the first half in each of its last six games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Mississippi State’s last seven October games against top-10 AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of Georgia’s last four games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Georgia ranks T8th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (21.2).
  • Georgia ranks 9th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (10.6).
  • Mississippi State ranks 131st among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (14.6).
  • Mississippi State ranks 126th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (20.8).

Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are a bottom-feeding SEC team, and their getting taken behind the woodshed wouldn’t be surprising. However, this is a look-ahead spot for Georgia with Texas on deck. Could be a win-and-get-out situation for the Bulldogs. Also, Georgia is 1-11-1 ATS in its last 13 games when a favorite of 20 or more points. This is just a ton of points to lay in a game where Georgia shouldn’t have much motivation to pour it on. Give me Mississippi State and the boatload of points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs +33.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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