
Georgia vs Ole Miss Prediction Football Picks 11-11-23
Georgia Bulldogs (9-0) vs Ole Miss Rebels (8-1)
2023-11-11 14:33:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 -- Over/Under:
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The Ole Miss Rebels and the Georgia Bulldogs meet Saturday in college football action from Sanford Stadium. Ole Miss is coming off a game versus Texas A&M last weekend. In that one the Rebels eked out a three-point victory to improve to 8-1 overall. As for Georgia, they played Missouri on Saturday. The Bulldogs ended up powering out a nine-point win to stay undefeated. Check back all season long for free college football picks at Sports Chat Place.
Ole Miss Rebels
The Rebels lost only one of their first eight games this year, falling 24-10 to Alabama back on September 23. Ole Miss hasn’t had much difficulty scoring at all normally however, boasting a 38.9 point-per-game average in those first eight outings. The Rebels posted 16 passing scores (with five interceptions) and 21 rush TDs across that span in a nice offensive display.
In their game versus Texas A&M on Saturday, the Rebels posted points in every quarter on the way to a hard-fought 38-35 victory. Jaxson Dart managed 387 yards with two touchdowns in the win, and Quinshon Judkins posted three scores with 102 yards off 23 carries. Tre Harris had a great game as well with 213 yards and a TD off 11 catches.
Ole Miss Rebels Team Facts
- Ole Miss has lost each of its last 10 games against top-5 AP-ranked teams.
- Ole Miss has covered the spread in each of its last six November games as an underdog against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
- Ole Miss has won the first half in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- Ole Miss has won the first quarter in each of its last six games against conference opponents.
- Nine of Ole Miss’ last 10 November games against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Georgia Bulldogs
Over on the Georgia side, they steamrolled though their first eight matchups, averaging 41.3 points per game with 41 total touchdowns. The Bulldogs have been dominant on both offensive facets, posting 16 passing scores with five picks and 22 rushing touchdowns in that time. Georgia also notched a nice 54.9 percent success rate on third downs to keep drives going.
Matched up against Missouri in their Saturday matchup, Georgia didn’t quite break out until the third quarter but still managed a nice win 30-21. QB Carson Beck logged 254 yards and two touchdowns, with most of the work going to Ladd McConkey on his 95 yards and seven catches. Daijun Edwards added 77 rush yards off 16 carries.
Georgia Bulldogs Team Facts
- Georgia has won each of its last eight games against top-15 AP-ranked teams at Sanford Stadium.
- Georgia has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven November games at Sanford Stadium.
- Georgia has won the first half in eight of its last 10 games against conference opponents at Sanford Stadium.
- Each of Georgia’s last six games against top-10 AP-ranked teams at Sanford Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Georgia rank 6th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (15.4).
- Georgia rank 10th among FBS teams for points per game this season (39.3).
- Ole Miss rank 14th among FBS teams for points per game this season (38.8).
- Ole Miss are one of only 27 FBS teams undefeated in home games this season ([z-0]).
ANDREW’S FREE PICK
I’ll lean slightly toward Georgia here, but you could make a case either way. The Bulldogs took a little while to really get going in the Missouri matchup on Saturday, but ultimately finished with 385 yards (254 passing), 21 first downs and zero turnovers. That makes 24 or more points in every game for Georgia this year, and 30 or more in each of the last four outings.
As for Ole Miss, they managed 518 yards (387 passing) against Texas A&M but also committed eight penalties and had a sketchy 4-of-11 success rate on third-down tries. The Rebels have 27 or more points in each of the last five games, but if Georgia’s defense is on point the Bulldogs should be able to hold Ole Miss in check. It’ll be a fun game regardless, though.