College Football

Hawaii vs Boise State Prediction 10-12-24 College Football Picks

Boise State Broncos (4-1) vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (2-3)
October 12, 2024 11:00 pm EDT
The Line: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors +21 / Boise State Broncos -21; Over/Under: +61.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Hawaii vs Boise State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 12th at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletic Complex in Honolulu, Hawaii. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 7 matchup. 

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Betting Preview

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors are 2-3 (0-1) this year after they lost to San Diego State by a score of 27-24 in their last game. Hawaii trailed 20-10 in the third quarter but ended up taking a 24-20 lead in the fourth, before allowing the game-winning touchdown. The Rainbow Warriors outgained SDSU by a total of 356-323, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 8-14 on third down in the game. Brayden Schager threw for 272 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while Pofele Ashlock caught eight passes for 77 yards and one score. 

Hawaii also has losses against Sam Houston State and UCLA, but they do have two wins against Delaware State and Northern Iowa. The Hawaii offense has scored 32.2 points per game with 266.6 passing yards and 93.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 19 points per game this season. The Rainbow Warriors have gone 39.1% on third down and 5-9 on fourth down through five games. Brayden Schager has completed 60.5% of his passes for 1,328 yards, 11 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Pofele Ashlock has caught 40 passes for 428 yards and four scores. 

Boise State Broncos Betting Preview

The Boise State Broncos are 4-1 (1-0) this season after they defeated Utah State by a score of 62-30 last week. Boise State scored 35 points in the second quarter alone and was able to coast to an easy win in the second half. The Broncos outgained Utah State by a total of 599-507, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 7-13 on third down in the game. Maddux Madsen threw for 256 yards and three touchdowns, while Ashton Jeanty rushed for 186 yards and three scores on 13 carries. 

Boise State also has wins against Washington State, Portland State, and Georgia Southern, but they did lose to Oregon by a score of 37-34 in their second game. The Boise offense has scored 50.6 points per game with 236.4 passing yards and 301.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 30 points per game this season. The Broncos have gone 56.3% on third down and 2-4 on fourth down so far this season. Maddux Madsen has completed 63% of his passes for 1,056 yards, 10 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Ashton Jeanty has rushed for 1,031 yards and 16 scores. 

Why Boise State will cover

  • The favorite has won each of Boise State’s last 12 games.
  • Hawaii has lost each of its last six games in October.
  • Boise State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games in October.
  • Boise State has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
  • Boise State has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Boise State’s last eight games has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Hawaii’s last six games at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Hawaii ranks T126th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (4.0).
  • Hawaii ranks T9th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.0).
  • Boise State ranks 1st among FBS teams for points per game this season (50.6).
  • Boise State ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (19.4).

Hawaii vs Boise State Prediction 

Boise State comes into this matchup with one of the best scoring offenses in the country, which is centered around star running back Aston Jeanty. The Broncos have scored 62, 45, 56, 34, and 56 points in their first five games and I don’t think they will have any issues lighting up the scoreboard here. On the other side, Hawaii is still looking for their first FBS win of the season but has lost to SDSU and UCLA by six total points. The Boise State offense has been unstoppable and I don’t think Hawaii is going to have the answer, so give me the Broncos here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Boise State -21

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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