Hawaii vs Fresno State 10/2/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

The Fresno State Bulldogs and Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors meet at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex Saturday in MWC week 5 college football action. The Fresno State Bulldogs look for a fourth straight win to improve to 5-1 on the season. The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors need a win here to get back to a .500 record.

The Fresno State Bulldogs have won three of their last five road games. Jake Haener is completing 73.1 percent of his passes for 1,842 yards, 15 touchdowns and two interceptions. Jalen Cropper and Josh Kelly have combined for 856 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Keric Wheatfall has 16 receptions. The Fresno State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 125.4 yards per contest, and Ronnie Rivers leads the way with 346 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Fresno State is allowing 21.6 points and 313.4 yards per game. Evan Williams leads the Fresno State Bulldogs with 36 tackles, Kevin Atkins has 4.5 sacks and Levelle Bailey has one interception.

The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors have split their last six home games. Chevan Cordeiro is completing 54.6 percent of his passes for 1,410 yards, seven touchdowns and six interceptions. Nick Mardner and Calvin Turner Jr. have combined for 819 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Jared Smart has 10 receptions. The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors ground game is averaging 144.8 yards per contest, and Dae Dae Hunter leads the way with 257 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Hawai’i is allowing 32.4 points and 423.8 yards per game. Darius Muasau leads the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors with 34 tackles, Jonah Laulu has three sacks and Pita Tonga has one interception.

The Bulldogs are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games and 38-18-2 ATS in their last 58 games overall. The Rainbow Warriors are 13-30-1 ATS in their last 44 home games and 10-21 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 conference games. The under is 7-2 in Rainbow Warriors last 9 games overall. The Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Hawaii.

I don’t like to bet against Hawaii at home, as the Rainbow Warriors are sneaky good on its home turf and the travel and what not does impact visiting teams. Instead, I’m looking at the over. Fresno State is an elite passing team that’s also 11th in total offense and 13th in points scored. Hawaii has had issues finishing drives this season, but the Rainbow Warriors are 45th in total offense and 29th in passing yards. These are two teams that can move the ball and score quickly. The over has also hit in five of Fresno State’s last seven games. Give me the over.