Hawai’i vs Sam Houston State Prediction Football Picks Today 9/6/25

The Sam Houston Bearkats and the Hawaii Warriors meet in week 2 college football action from the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Hawaii Warriors prediction.

Sam Houston Bearkats Recap

The Sam Houston Bearkats come into this game looking for their first win after falling to 0-2 with a 38-21 loss at the hands of UNLV last time out. After this game, the Bearkats will head on the road again for a game against Texas.

Bearkats On Hunt For First W

Hunter Watson has thrown for 310 yards and an interception on 57.7% passing while Mabrey Mettauer’s thrown for 86 yards, a touchdown and an interception on 61.5% passing. Watson also leads the Bearkats in rushing with 108 rushing yards and 2 TDs while Landan Brown has 85 rushing yards with a TD and Alton McCaskill has 72 rushing yards and a touchdown. Elijah Green leads Sam Houston’s receiving group with 8 grabs for 79 yards while Tim Burns Jr. has 59 receiving yards and a touchdown and Aviyon Smith-Mack has 8 grabs for 51 yards this season. On defense, Emon Allen has a team-high 15 total tackles including 11 solo tackles and an interception while Tokyo Gordon, Chauncey Chidi and Zeiqui Lawton each have a sack so far this season.

Why the Sam Houston State Bearkats will win

• Hawaii has lost three of its last four games against opponents from the Conference USA.
• Sam Houston State has won three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
• Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against opponents from the Conference USA.
• Sam Houston State has covered the spread in three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.

Hawaii Warriors Recap

The Hawaii Warriors come into this game looking to rebound from a 40-6 loss at the hands of Arizona last time out to fall to 1-1 on the year. After this game, Hawaii will head home for a game against Portland State.

Warriors Looking To Rebound From First Loss

Micah Alejado has thrown for 367 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception on 64.3% passing while Landon Sims leads Hawaii in rushing with 53 rushing yards and Cam Barfield has 51 rushing yards this season. Pofele Ashlock leads Hawaii’s receivers with 15 catches for 93 yards and a touchdown while Landon Sims has 80 receiving yards and Jackson Harris has 80 receiving yards and a touchdown as well this season. On defense, Peter Manuma leads the Warriors with 15 total tackles including 7 solo tackles and a sack while De’Jon Benton and Jackie Johnson III each have a sack and Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen has an interception for Hawaii’s defense this season.

Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win

• Hawaii has won each of its last 17 September games as a favorite.
• Hawaii has covered the spread in each of its last six home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Sam Houston State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four road games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Hawaii’s last 10 games against non-conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Sam Houston State’s last four September games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.

Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Hawaii Warriors Prediction

I’m leaning towards Sam Houston here. I know going to the island is never easy and Hawaii plays their best at home. However, this is a ton of travel for Hawaii, playing a home game, a road game and a home game in three consecutive weeks, and Hawaii still has a ton of issues that need to be addressed as far as I’m concerned. The Bearkats have a new look offense that’s started to work, it’s the defense that has to make up ground, but I think the Bearkats do enough here to cover with the points at the very least if not win outright. Give me Sam Houston and the points here.