Houston vs Kansas State Prediction Football Picks Today 10/10/26

In this article, we will formulate a Houston vs Kansas State Prediction for this College Football Week 6 matchup on Saturday, October 10^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Kansas State Wildcats Preview

Kansas State has a 3-1 record and a 0-1 record in the Big 12. They are coming off a 26-31 road loss against Cincinnati and will face Kansas and Arizona State next. Offensively, Kansas State averages 40.5 points per game, ranking 19th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 15.2 points per game, which is 22nd. Kansas State averages 480.3 total yards per game (239.5 passing and 240.8 rushing), while allowing 246 total yards per game (139.8 rushing and 106.3 passing).

Avery Johnson leads Kansas State with 910 passing yards with 66.2% completed passes and 7 touchdowns, also adding a team-high 291 rushing yards. Derrick Salley Jr. has a team-high 11 receptions for 178 receiving yards. Defensively, Gabe Powers has a team-high 22 total tackles (15 of them solo), while Wendell Gregory leads the team with 2.5 sacks.

Houston Cougars Preview

Houston has a 4-1 record and a 1-1 record in the Big 12. They are coming off a 27-17 home win against UCF and will face Oklahoma State and Utah next. Offensively, Houston averages 41 points per game, ranking 17th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 19.8 points per game, which is 46th. Houston averages 483.2 total yards per game (253.8 passing and 229.4 rushing), while allowing 327 total yards per game (65.4 rushing and 261.6 passing).

Conner Weigman leads Houston with 1,186 passing yards with 67.4% completed passes and 11 touchdowns, also adding a team-high 156 rushing yards. Amare Thomas has a team-high 27 receptions for 330 receiving yards. Defensively, Kentrell Webb has a team-high 29 total tackles (25 of them solo), while Javion White leads the team with 2.5 sacks.

Houston Cougars @ Kansas State Wildcats Betting Trends: Week 6

Why the Kansas State Wildcats will win

• Kansas State has won each of its last seven home games in October.
• Kansas State has covered the spread in each of its last four games as a home favorite against teams from Texas.
• Houston has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four October games as an AP-ranked team.
• Kansas State has won the first half in each of its last 10 October games as a home favorite.
• Kansas State has won the first quarter in four of its last five games.

Why the Houston Cougars will win

• Houston has won each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Kansas State has lost each of its last four games against AP-ranked teams.
• Houston has covered the spread in each of its last six road games against conference opponents.
• Kansas State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
• The team ranked 22nd in the AP Poll has won the first half in each of its last six games.
• The team ranked 22nd in the AP Poll has won the first quarter in seven of its last eight games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Kansas State’s last four October games as a home favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of Houston’s last six games have gone OVER the total points line.

Kansas State Wildcats Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Avery Johnson ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (9.7) this season.

Houston Cougars Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Conner Weigman ranks T7th in the league for TD:INT ratio (11.00) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Kansas State ranks 1st among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (106.3).
• Kansas State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (65.0).
• Houston ranks 1st among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (65.6).
• Houston ranks 4th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (136).

Houston vs Kansas State Prediction

In this Houston vs Kansas State prediction, Kansas State is coming as -2.5 home favorites. Both teams have just one defeat this season but both have failed to cover the spread in their last two games. Both teams have also been excellent offensively, sitting on the top-20 of the nation in points scored with 81.5 ppg combined and as a result, they are 7-2 to the over combined this season. Kansas State’s defense has been struggling lately, having allowing 51 points in its last two games combined, so I don’t think this game will stay low-scoring. take the over 55 points in this one.