Illinois vs Purdue Prediction 10-12-24 College Football Picks
Purdue Boilermakers (1-4) vs. Illinois Fighting Illini (4-1)
October 12, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Illinois Fighting Illini -19.5 / Purdue Boilermakers +19.5; Over/Under: +48.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Purdue Boilermakers and the Illinois Fighting Illini meet in week 7 college football action from Memorial Stadium on Saturday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Illinois vs Purdue Prediction.
Purdue Recap
The Purdue Boilermakers come into this one looking to shake off their current four-game losing skid after a 52-6 loss to Wisconsin last time out. After this game, Purdue will head out on the road for a matchup with Oregon.
Boiler Down
Hudson Card has thrown for 738 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 63.4% passing while Devin Mockobee has 362 rushing yards and Reggie Love III has 210 rushing yards as well on the year. Max Klare leads Purdue’s receiving group with 15 receptions for 219 yards and 2 touchdowns. On defense, Dillon Thieneman has a team-high 42 total tackles including 27 solo tackles while Kydran Jenkins has 38 total tackles including 3.5 sacks. As a unit, Purdue’s defense has combined for 9 sacks so far this season.
Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win
- Purdue has won four of its last five games as an underdog against Illinois.
- Illinois has lost six of its last eight October games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Purdue has covered the spread in each of its last eight October road games against AP-ranked teams.
- Illinois has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven home games against conference opponents.
Illinois Recap
The Illinois Fighting Illini come into this one looking to hit the reset after their bye week, coming off of their first loss of the season in a 21-7 defeat at the hands of Penn State. After this game, Illinois will head home for a date with Michigan.
Fighting Illini Looking To Keep Momentum Going
Luke Altmyer has thrown for 1,047 yards, 11 touchdowns, and an interception on 70% passing while Kaden Feagin has a team-high 306 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Aidan Laughery, Ca’Lil Valentine, and Josh McCray all have 100+ rushing yards for the Illini while Pat Bryant has a team-high 346 receiving yards and 23 grabs with 6 touchdowns and Zakhari Franklin has a team-high 24 receptions for 286 yards this season. On defense, Matthew Bailey leads the Illini with 32 total tackles while Xavier Scott has a team-high 3 interceptions. Gabe Jacas also has a team-high 3 sacks as well on the year. As a unit, Illinois’ defense has combined for 13 sacks and 7 interceptions.
Why the Illinois Fighting Illini will win
- Purdue has lost each of its last six road games.
- The favorite has won each of Purdue’s last seven games.
- Purdue has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games in October.
- The favorite has covered the spread in each of Purdue’s last five games.
Illinois vs Purdue Prediction
I’m on the Illini here. Purdue is just getting their teeth kicked in, and while at a certain point, you have to think that we hit the bottom of the market on Purdue and things have to maybe go the other way, Purdue has shown us nothing to suggest that’s going to happen. The Illini are proving to be a tough out, and are a team on the rise as well, even though I didn’t really have high hopes for them coming into the season. Give me Illinois here.