Michigan Wolverines (5-4) vs. Indiana Hoosiers (9-0)
November 9, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Indiana Hoosiers -14 / Michigan Wolverines +14; Over/Under: +49.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate an Indiana vs Michigan prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 9th at Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, Indiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 11 matchup.
Indiana Hoosiers Betting Preview
The Indiana Hoosiers are 9-0 (6-0) this year after they defeated Michigan State by a score of 47-10 in their last game. Indiana trailed 10-0 after the first quarter, but they scored the last 47 points in the game for the blowout win. The Hoosiers outgained MSU by a total of 385-193, won the turnover battle 2-0, and went 2-10 on third down in the game. Kurtis Rourke threw for 263 yards and four touchdowns, while Ke’Shawn Williams caught six passes for 86 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, the Hoosiers won their first eight games of the season, including wins over UCLA, Nebraska, and Washington. The IU offense has scored 46.6 points per game with 284.3 passing yards and 191.9 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 13.7 points per game this season. Kurtis Rourke has completed 73.3% of his passes for 2,204 yards, 19 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Justice Ellison has rushed for 669 yards and nine scores.
Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview
The Michigan Wolverines are 5-4 (3-3) this season after they lost to Oregon by a score of 38-17 in their last game. Michigan tied the game at seven in the first quarter and cut the deficit to 28-17 in the third, but couldn’t get any closer. The Wolverines were outgained by a total of 470-270, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 4-12 on third down in the game. Davis Warren threw for 164 yards and two touchdowns, while Donovan Edwards rushed for 52 yards on 10 carries.
Prior to that game, the Wolverines defeated Michigan State by a score of 24-17 but did lose to Illinois and Washington before that. The Michigan offense has scored 21 points per game with 134.3 passing yards and 165.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23.3 points per game this season. Davis Warren has completed 65.2% of his passes for 731 yards, five touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Kalel Mullings has rushed for 710 yards and seven scores this year.
Why Michigan will cover
- Michigan has won each of its last seven road games in November.
- Indiana has lost five of its last six home games in November.
- Indiana has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six home games in November.
- Michigan has covered the spread in five of its last six November games against AP-ranked teams.
- Michigan has won the first half in 30 of its last 36 games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan’s last six November games as an underdog against top-15 AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of Indiana’s last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Indiana ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.1).
- Indiana ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (2.2).
- Michigan ranks 128th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (134.3).
- Michigan ranks 127th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (299.4).
Indiana vs Michigan Prediction
Indiana continues to dominate every team they play, as they have started the season with nine straight convincing wins. The Hoosiers haven’t played a difficult schedule, but they have dominated everyone that they have played so far. Michigan is in the middle of a very disappointing season after last season’s National Championship, but they have looked better in their last two games.
The Wolverines defeated in-state rival Michigan State and hung with Oregon for most of the game. Michigan still has major issues at the quarterback spot, but their defense is still pretty solid. This is a tough game to call, as this is probably the toughest defense that Indiana has faced, so I will take Michigan with the points.
