Indiana vs Oregon Prediction Football Picks Today 1/9/26

In this article we will formulate an Indiana vs Oregon prediction for this College Football game on Friday, January 9th at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football Playoff Semifinal matchup. 

Indiana Hoosiers Betting Preview

The Indiana Hoosiers are 14-0 (9-0) this season after they defeated Alabama by a score of 38-3 in their last game. Indiana led 17-0 at halftime and 24-3 in the third quarter, before scoring 14 more points in the fourth to finish the blowout win. The Hoosiers out gained Alabama by a total of 407-193, went 9-14 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Fernando Mendoza went 14-16 for 192 yards and three touchdowns, while Kaelon Black rushed 15 times for 99 yards and one score. Charlie Becker led the receivers with two catches for 51 yards and one touchdown in the win. 

Prior to that game, Indiana defeated Ohio State by a score of 13-10 and Purdue by a score of 56-3. The Hoosiers have won all 14 games this season and finished tied for first in the Big Ten with Ohio State. Indiana has scored 41.6 points per game with 247.4 passing yards and 220.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 10.3 points against per game this season. Fernando Mendoza has thrown for 3,172 yards, 36 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Roman Hemby has rushed for 1,007 yards and seven scores on 194 carries this season. Omar Cooper Jr has added 61 catches for 849 yards and 12 touchdowns. 

Oregon Ducks Betting Preview

The Oregon Ducks are 13-1 (8-1) this year after they defeated Texas Tech by a score of 23-0 in their last game. Oregon led just 6-0 at halftime, but they scored seven points in the third quarter and 10 in the fourth to seal the lopsided victory. The Ducks out gained Texas Tech by a total of 309-215, went 4-19 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 4-1 in the game. Dante Moore went 26-33 for 234 yards and one interception, while Jordan Davison rushed 15 times for 42 yards and two scores. Jamari Johnson led the receivers with four receptions for 66 yards in the win. 

Prior to that game, Oregon defeated James Madison by a score of 51-34 and Washington by a score of 26-14. The Ducks have won eight games in a row and they finished third in the Big Ten standings. Oregon has scored 38.1 points per game with 251.4 passing yards and 206.1 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 15.1 points against per game this season. Dante Moore has thrown for 3,280 yards, 28 touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while Noah Whittington has rushed for 829 yards and six scores on 129 carries this year. 

Why the Indiana Hoosiers will win

• Indiana has won each of its last 14 games.
• Oregon has lost three of its last four games against conference opponents at neutral venues.
• Indiana has covered the spread in each of its last four games against AP-ranked teams.
• Oregon has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as an underdog at neutral venues.
• Indiana has won the first quarter in 12 of its last 13 games against conference opponents.
• Indiana has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.

Why the Oregon Ducks will win

• Oregon has won five of its last six games as an underdog against top-5 AP-ranked teams.
• Indiana has lost 32 of its last 39 games against AP-ranked teams.
• Oregon has covered the spread in each of its last four games against top-5 AP-ranked teams.
• Oregon has won the first quarter in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
• Oregon has won the first half in each of its last six games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Indiana’s last seven games at neutral venues have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of Oregon’s last six games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Indiana has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10+ points of any FBS team this season (7).
• Indiana has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 35+ points of any FBS team this season (4).
• Oregon has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10+ points of any FBS team this season (7).
• Oregon ranks 1st among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+9.8).

Indiana vs Oregon Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup after very impressive victories in their last game, but Indiana is undefeated and already beat Oregon 30-20 on the road. Indiana led 13-10 at halftime in that game, but they were tied at 20 in the fourth, before scoring the last 10 points for the win. Both of these defenses were great in their last game, but Oregon did allow 34 to JMU and 27 to USC in two of their last four games. This should be a fantastic game to watch and I think it could come down to a late field goal, so I will take Oregon and the points here. 

David Racey is 190-161 (54%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!