Iowa vs Northwestern Prediction Football Picks Today 11/7/26

Iowa vs Northwestern Prediction

In this Iowa vs Northwestern prediction, Northwestern is coming as -2.5 home favorites. Both teams have identical overall records and similar against the spread records this season, but Northwestern has been in better form, having lost only once in its last five games and has been undefeated at home. They have been better offensively, scoring 5.4 points per game more than Iowa, ranking on the top-35 of the entire country, while Iowa has the 4^th-best offense in the country but has been struggling on that end on the road, as they allow 18.6 points per game away from home, that is more than four points per game higher than their season average. The value here lies with the home team who is being listed as small favorites, so take Northwestern and lay the -2.5 points at home.

Northwestern Wildcats Preview

Northwestern has a 6-2 record and a 3-2 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off a 26-34 road loss against Oregon and will face Ohio State and Minnesota next.

Offensively, Northwestern averages 33.6 points per game, ranking 35th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 18.8 points per game, which is 26th. Northwestern averages 438.1 total yards per game (237.3 passing and 200.9 rushing), while allowing 374.1 total yards per game (146.8 rushing and 227.4 passing). They average 65.0 plays per game and 6.7 yards per play on offense, while allowing 67.8 plays per game and 5.5 yards per play on defense. Northwestern averages 22.9 first downs per game on offense and 20.1 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 0.4 times per game and are forcing 1.6 turnovers per game.

Aidan Chiles leads Northwestern with 1,898 passing yards with 68.8% completed passes and 13 touchdowns, and he leads the team in rushing yards with 274. Griffin Wilde has a team-high 761 receiving yards and 44 receptions. Defensively, Braydon Brus has a team-high 68 total tackles (35 of them solo) and leads the team with 4.0 sacks.

Iowa Hawkeyes Preview

Iowa has a 6-2 record and a 3-2 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off a 30-0 home win against Wisconsin and will face Purdue and Illinois next.

Offensively, Iowa averages 28.2 points per game, ranking 70th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 12.5 points per game, which is 4th. Iowa averages 383.6 total yards per game (209.4 passing and 174.3 rushing), while allowing 275.5 total yards per game (79.0 rushing and 196.5 passing). They average 62.9 plays per game and 6.1 yards per play on offense, while allowing 62.1 plays per game and 4.4 yards per play on defense. Iowa averages 20.0 first downs per game on offense and 14.4 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 1.0 times per game and are forcing 1.1 turnovers per game.

Hank Brown leads Iowa with 1,190 passing yards with 64.5% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Kamari Moulton leads the team in rushing yards with 541, while Tony Diaz has a team-high 461 receiving yards and 33 receptions. Defensively, Cam Buffington has a team-high 70 total tackles (39 of them solo), while Joseph Anderson leads the team with 4.0 sacks.

Iowa Hawkeyes @ Northwestern Wildcats Betting Trends: Week 10

Why the Northwestern Wildcats will win

• Northwestern has won each of its last 10 games as a favorite in Illinois.
• Northwestern has covered the spread in five of its last six November home games against AP-ranked teams.

Why the Iowa Hawkeyes will win

• Northwestern has lost 20 of its last 21 games against AP-ranked teams.
• The team ranked 21st in the AP Poll has won each of its last eight games.
• Iowa has covered the spread in each of its last eight November games as an underdog.
• Iowa has won the first half in each of its last six games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Iowa’s last four November games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Northwestern’s last five games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Northwestern Wildcats Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Jackson Kleather ranks T7th amongst FBS players for made field goals (15) this season.

Iowa Hawkeyes Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Tony Diaz leads Iowa for receiving yards (461) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Northwestern ranks 2nd among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (97.1).
• Northwestern ranks 6th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.9).
• Iowa ranks T3rd among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (115).
• Iowa ranks 4th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (12.5).