Iowa vs Wisconsin Prediction 11-2-24 College Football Picks
Wisconsin Badgers (5-3) vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (5-3)
November 2, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Iowa Hawkeyes -3 / Wisconsin Badgers +3; Over/Under: +40.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate an Iowa vs Wisconsin prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 2nd at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 10 matchup.Â
Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Preview
The Iowa Hawkeyes are 5-3 (3-2) this year after they defeated Northwestern by a score of 40-14 in their last game. Iowa led 12-7 at halftime and scored 28 points in the third quarter to pull away for the win. The Hawkeyes outgained Northwestern by a total of 355-163, won the turnover battle 3-1, and went 6-17 on third down in the game. Cade McNamara threw for 73 yards and one touchdown, while Kaleb Johnson rushed for 109 yards and three scores.Â
Prior to that game, the Hawkeyes lost to MSU by a score of 32-20 but did beat Washington by a score of 40-16 before that. The Iowa offense has scored 29.4 points per game with 138.8 passing yards and 209.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 19 points per game this season. The Hawkeyes have gone 43.6% on third down and 1-4 on fourth down through eight games. Brendan Sullivan will start at quarterback, as McNamara is in concussion protocol.Â
Wisconsin Badgers Betting Preview
The Wisconsin Badgers are 5-3 (3-2) this season after they lost to Penn State by a score of 28-13 in their last game. Wisconsin led 10-7 at the half and only trailed 14-13 in the fourth, but they allowed the last 14 points in the game for the loss. The Badgers were outgained by a total of 419-298, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 7-18 on third down in the game. Braedyn Locke threw for 217 yards and one interception, while Tawee Walker rushed for 59 yards and one score.Â
Prior to that loss, the Badgers won three straight games against Northwestern, Rutgers, and Purdue. The Wisconsin offense has scored 29.3 points per game with 213.1 passing yards and 179.9 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 18.9 points per game this season. The Badgers have gone 42.9% on third down and 9-14 on fourth down so far this season. Braedyn Locke has completed 57.6% of his passes for 1,281 yards, seven touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Tawee Walker has rushed for 624 yards and 10 scores.Â
Why Iowa will beat Wisconsin
- Iowa has won 19 of its last 20 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Wisconsin has lost eight of its last nine games as an underdog.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of Iowa’s last four games.
- Wisconsin has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Iowa has won the first half in six of its last seven games against conference opponents at Kinnick Stadium.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Iowa’s last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Wisconsin’s last five November road games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Iowa ranks T3rd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (11.9).
- Iowa ranks 132nd among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (20.0).
- Wisconsin ranks 4th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (6.8).
- Wisconsin ranks 8th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.8).
Iowa vs Wisconsin PredictionÂ
Iowa comes into this matchup after alternating wins and losses over their last five games, but they have won all of their home Big Ten games so far this season. The Hawkeyes have scored 40 points in two of their last three games, but they will have their backup quarterback under center. Wisconsin has won three of their last four games, but all three wins came against lower teams in the conference. The Badgers have losses to Penn State and USC in the conference, but they did play well against Penn State last week. The Iowa rushing attack is going to need a huge game here, but luckily for them, they have one of the best running backs in the country. Take the Hawkeyes to get the win at home.Â