James Madison vs Georgia State Prediction 11-9-24 College Football Picks
Georgia State Panthers (2-6) vs. James Madison Dukes (6-2)
November 9, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: James Madison Dukes -16.5 / Georgia State Panthers +16.5; Over/Under: +53.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Georgia State Panthers and James Madison Dukes meet Saturday in week 11 college football action at Bridgeforth Stadium. Here’s a James Madison vs Georgia State Prediction. This article will include a James Madison vs Georgia State Pick.
Georgia State Panthers Betting Preview
The Georgia State Panthers lost to App State and UCONN, and they play Arkansas State next. Georgia State has lost 5 straight road games. Christian Veilleux is completing 58.3 percent of his passes for 1,312 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Ted Hurst and Dorian Fleming have combined for 948 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Michel Dukes has 29 receptions.
The Georgia State Panthers ground game is averaging 133.4 yards per contest, and Freddie Brock leads the way with 575 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Georgia State is allowing 31.1 points and 410 yards per game. Xavier Robinson leads the Georgia State Panthers with 39 tackles, Kevin Swint has 4 sacks and Kenyatta Watson II has 2 interceptions.
James Madison Dukes Betting Preview
The James Madison Dukes lost to Georgia Southern, beat Southern Miss, and then play Old Dominion next. The James Madison Dukes have won 4 straight home games. Alonza Barnett III is completing 57.2 percent of his passes for 1,793 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Omarion Dollison and Cam Ross have combined for 739 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Taylor Thompson has 24 receptions.
The James Madison Dukes ground game is averaging 178 yards per contest, and George Pettaway leads the way with 569 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, James Madison is allowing 17.6 points and 327.8 yards per game. Jacob Dobbs leads the James Madison Dukes with 69 tackles, Khairi Manns has 5.5 sacks and Terrence Spence has 5 interceptions.
Why the James Madison Dukes will win
- Georgia State has lost each of its last eight games in November.
- James Madison has won 11 of its last 12 games at Bridgeforth Stadium.
- Georgia State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.
- The home team has covered the spread in four of James Madison’s last five games.
- James Madison has won the first half in six of its last seven home games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of James Madison’s last four games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Georgia State’s last five November road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- James Madison ranks 1st among FBS teams for interceptions this season (16).
- James Madison ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (2.4).
- Georgia State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (1.6).
- Georgia State ranks 131st among FBS teams for average point differential in the first quarters this season (-5.6).
James Madison vs Georgia State Prediction
The James Madison Dukes are easily the better team and could blow the doors off, but they’re also a team that doesn’t cover numbers. James Madison is just 4-4 ATS on the season and 1-4 ATS as double-digit favorites this season. James Madison is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games as a double-digit favorite. Georgia State doesn’t play defense and can’t finish drives offensively, but James Madison doesn’t cover big numbers. It’s Georgia State or pass for me.
