Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-3) vs. Kansas State Wildcats (4-4)
November 7, 2026 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas State Wildcats 190 / Oklahoma State Cowboys -230; Over/Under: 62.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Prediction
Kansas State comes into this matchup after losing four of their last five games and they continue to be without their starting quarterback. The Wildcats have been very disappointing this year and they have scored 17 or fewer in two of their last four. Oklahoma State has won three of their last five, but they really struggle on defense. The Cowboys have allowed 35+ points in two of their last three, but they have scored 32+ in five straight. I will back Okie State here, but the defense is a concern.
Kansas State Wildcats Betting Preview
The Kansas State Wildcats are 4-4 (1-4) this year after they lost to Colorado in overtime by a score of 27-24 in their last game. Kansas State was tied 7-7 at halftime and they went to overtime, but only scored three points in the extra period for the loss. The Wildcats were out gained by a total of 407-347, went 7-16 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Blake Barnett threw for 224 yards and three touchdowns, while Josh Manning caught six passes for 73 yards and one score. Rodney Fields Jr rushed 12 times for 65 yards in the loss.
Prior to that game, Kansas State lost to Arizona State by a score of 28-17, but did beat Kansas by a score of 35-24 before that. The Wildcats have scored 31.8 points per game with 221.1 passing yards and 205.5 rushing yards per game, while they have scored 21.9 points against per game this season. Blake Barnett has thrown for 265 yards with three touchdowns and zero interceptions, while Rodney Fields Jr has rushed 93 times for 487 yards and five scores. Jaron Tibbs has led the receivers with 39 receptions for 379 yards and four touchdowns this year.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Preview
The Oklahoma State Cowboys are 5-3 (3-2) this season after they lost to Iowa State by a score of 51-49 in their last game. Oklahoma State trailed 24-21 at halftime, but they led 49-48 in the fourth, before losing on a field goal as time expired. The Cowboys were out gained by a total of 581-533, went 8-12 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Drew Mestemaker threw for 323 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception, while Justin Bowick caught seven passes for 124 yards and two scores. Caleb Hawkins rushed 25 times for 194 yards and two touchdowns in the loss.
Prior to that game, Oklahoma State defeated Colorado by a score of 57-24, but lost to Houston by a score of 35-32 before that. The Cowboys have scored 41.1 points per game with 338.8 passing yards and 190.9 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.1 points against per game this season. Drew Mestemaker has thrown for 2,649 yards with 25 touchdowns and seven interceptions, while Justin Bowick has 41 receptions for 731 yards and nine scores. Caleb Hawkins is the leading rusher with 906 yards and four touchdowns on 167 carries this season.
Why the Oklahoma State Cowboys will win
- Oklahoma State has won each of its last six games as a favorite against teams from Kansas.
- Kansas State has lost four of its last five games.
- Oklahoma State has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games against conference opponents.
- Kansas State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oklahoma State has won the first half in eight of its last nine games as a favorite against teams from Kansas.
- Oklahoma State has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against teams from Kansas.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Kansas State’s last six games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Oklahoma State’s last five games have gone OVER the total points line.
Kansas State Wildcats Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Avery Johnson ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (9.1) this season.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, LaDainian Fields ranks T1st amongst FBS players for interceptions (5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Kansas State ranks T137th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (1).
- Kansas State ranks 136th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (12.5).
- Oklahoma State has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
- Oklahoma State ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (12.9).
Positive Trends
After reviewing the trends, I am sticking with Oklahoma State here. The Cowboys have covered the spread in eight of their last nine conference games, while Kansas State has failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven non-ranked games in November. The Cowboys also finish the game strong, as they lead the country in fourth quarter points per game. Take Oklahoma State here.
