TCU Horned Frogs (4-1) vs. Kansas State Wildcats (2-4)
October 11, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas State Wildcats +1 / TCU Horned Frogs -1; Over/Under: 55.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The TCU Horned Frogs and the Kansas State Wildcats meet in week 7 college football action from Bill Snyder Family Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats prediction.
TCU Horned Frogs Recap
The TCU Horned Frogs come into this game looking to add on to their 35-21 win over Colorado last time out to sit at 4-1 on hte year. After this game, TCU will head home for a game against the Baylor Bears.
TCU Looking To Pick Up Form On Road
Josh Hoover has thrown for 1,517 yards, 15 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 67.3% passing while Kevorian Barnes leads the Horned Frogs with 204 rushing yards and a touchdown. Trent Battle and Jeremy Payne each have 100+ rushing yards this season wiht Battle logging 3 touchdowns. Eric McAlister leads TCU in receiving with 385 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns while Jordan Dwyer has 325 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns and Joseph Manjack IV has 301 receiving yards and 2 scores. DJ Rogers has 169 receiving yards and a TD as well this year. On defense, Kaleb Elarms-Orr has a team-high 40 total tackles in addition to 3 sacks while Jamel Johnson has 38 total tackles with a team-high 27 solo tackles and 3 interceptions. Namdi Obiazor has a pair of sacks and Bud Clark has a pair of interceptions this season. As a unit, TCU has combined for 14 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.
Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win
- The favorite has won each of TCU’s last 11 games.
- Kansas State has lost four of its last five games against conference opponents.
- TCU has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games as a favorite.
- Kansas State has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 17 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Kansas State Wildcats Recap
The Kansas State Wildcats come into this game looking to bounce back from their 35-34 loss to Baylor last time out to sit at 2-4 this season. After this game, Kansas State will head on the road for a rivalry game against Kansas.
Wildcats Drop 3 Of Last 4
Avery Johnson has thrown for 1,363 yards, 10 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 62.9% passing while also leading K-State with 209 yards and 3 touchdowns. Dylan Edwards has 205 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns while Joe Jackson has 203 rushing yards and a touchdown as well. Jayce Brown leads Kansas State with 29 catches for 390 yards and 3 touchdowns. Jaron Tibbs has 27 grabs for 309 yards and 2 touchdowns while Garrett Oakley has 21 catches for 200 yards and 2 touchdowns. Austin Romaine leads Kansas State’s defenses with 45 total tackles including 30 solo tackles while Tobi Osunsanmi has a team-high 4 sacks. Cody Stufflebean also has 3 sacks while Kansas State’s defense as a whole has combined for 13 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Kansas State Wildcats will win
- Kansas State has won each of its last six home games in October.
- TCU has lost each of its last three games at Bill Snyder Family Stadium.
- Kansas State has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against TCU.
- TCU has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games in Kansas.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Kansas State’s last six October games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of TCU’s last four games at Bill Snyder Family Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats Prediction
I’m on TCU here. I get the case to be made for a home underdog, but Kansas State has played in a lot of close games this season and more often than not have found ways to let bettors down who have backed them. TCU struggled in their last road game, but this is still an experienced Horned Frogs team that has shown they can win on the road and I think they get the job done here. Give me TCU.
