Kansas vs Middle Tennessee Prediction Football Picks Today 10/3/26

In this article we will formulate a Kansas vs Middle Tennessee prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 3rd at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium in Lawrence, Kansas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 5 matchup. 

Kansas Jayhawks Betting Preview

The Kansas Jayhawks are 1-2 this year after they lost to Arizona State by a score of 24-17 in their last game. Kansas trailed 10-7 at halftime and 24-7 in the fourth quarter, but nearly made a great comeback in the loss. The Jayhawks out gained ASU by a total of 414-228, went 6-16 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 3-0 in the game. Isaiah Marshall threw for 235 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Nahzae Cox caught two passes for 68 yards. Dylan Edwards rushed 18 times for 89 yards in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Kansas lost to Missouri by a score of 38-21, but did beat LIU by a score of 51-6 before that. The Jayhawks have scored 29.7 points per game with 248.3 passing yards and 178.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 22.7 points against per game this season. Isaiah Marshall has thrown for 649 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions this year. 

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Preview

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are 2-2 this season after they lost to Jacksonville State by a score of 23-13 last week. Middle Tennessee trailed 10-7 at halftime, but they led 13-10 early in the third quarter, before allowing the last 13 points for the loss. The Blue Raiders were out gained by a total of 517-319, went 4-11 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Roman Gagliano threw for 216 yards and two touchdowns, while Cam’ron Lacy caught six passes for 88 yards and one score. Antonio Martin rushed 17 times for 106 yards in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Middle Tennessee defeated Nevada by a score of 27-20, but lost to Marshall by a score of 28-26 before that. The Blue Raiders have scored 26.0 points per game with 208.0 passing yards and 141.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 21.3 points against per game this season. Roman Gagliano has thrown for 832 yards with eight touchdowns and one interception this season. 

Why the Kansas Jayhawks will win

• Kansas has won eight of its last nine games against non-conference opponents at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium.
• Middle Tennessee has lost each of its last four games in October.
• The favorite has covered the spread in four of Kansas’ last five games.
• Kansas has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 home games against non-conference opponents.
• Kansas has won the first quarter in six of its last seven home games against non-conference opponents.

Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win

• Kansas has lost five of its last six games.
• Middle Tennessee has covered the spread in five of its last six games.
• Kansas has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium.
• Kansas has lost the first half in 20 of its last 23 October games at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium.
• Middle Tennessee has won the first quarter in four of its last five games in October.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Kansas’ last eight October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Middle Tennessee’s last four games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Kansas Jayhawks Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 5, Dylan Edwards is one of only 16 players averaging over 50.0 rushing yards and 20.0 receiving yards per game this season.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 5, Ashton Logan ranks 10th amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (48.4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Kansas ranks 1st among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (45).
• Kansas ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
• Middle Tennessee ranks T13th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (75.0).
• Middle Tennessee ranks 125th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (31.1).

Kansas vs Middle Tennessee Prediction 

Kansas comes into this matchup on a two game losing streak and they need to find more offense if they want to be successful. Middle Tennessee has alternated wins and losses through four games, but only scored 13 points last week. I don’t like the Kansas defense, but they have also played two decent teams in ASU and Mizzou, so I expect a bounce back effort from them here. I think Kansas runs away with this one and I like them to cover.