Kansas vs TCU Prediction 9-28-24 College Football Picks
TCU Horned Frogs (2-2) vs. Kansas Jayhawks (1-3)
September 28, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas Jayhawks -2 ; Over/Under: +59.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Kansas vs TCU prediction for this College Football Week 5 game on Saturday, September 28th, at Arrowhead Stadium. Let’s take a look at a Kansas Jayhawks vs TCU Horned Frogs pick.
TCU Defense is a Problem
TCU has lost two games in a row and the defense has been an issue. Two games ago against Central Florida, they were defeated 35-34 and in the last game against SMU they were defeated 66-42. The defense couldn’t stop anything on the ground and that led to the defeated. They allowed Brashard Smith to rush 18 times for 127 yards and three touchdowns. Josh Hoover had a strong game for TCU under center in terms of yards, but the two interceptions were an issue. He ended the game completing 28 of his 43 passes for 396 yards and three touchdowns. Jack Bech finished with eight catches for 166 yards and two touchdowns.
TCU on the season is averaging 38.8 points while their defense is giving up 32 points per game. The offense is ranked 22nd in the league while the defense is ranked 111th. In this game, TCU needs to find a way to create some turnovers with the defense.
Kansas is Lost
Kansas has been leading each of the last three games late, and somehow they ended up losing all three of the games. In the last game against West Virginia, they were outscored 15-7 in the 4th quarter, and they ended up losing 32-28. Jalon Daniels hasn’t been as dynamic as they need him to be, and he completed 15 of his 25 passes for 184 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Devin Neal has one of the best running backs in football, and he finished with 27 carries for 110 yards and a touchdown. Luke Grimm also caught six passes for 75 yards and a touchdown.
The Jayhawks are averaging 28.3 points, while their defense is giving up 20.3 points per game. The offense is ranked 79th in the league, while the defense is ranked 48th in the league. Kansas needs to find a way to close out this game.
Why Kansas Will Beat TCU
- TCU has lost each of its last four road games against conference opponents.
- Kansas has won five of its last six September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- TCU has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six road games.
- Kansas has covered the spread in four of its last five home games against conference opponents.
Kansas vs TCU Prediction
Kansas is going to find a way to close out a game. TCU in the last game gave up 66 points, and they are going to really struggle here. Devin Neal is going to run wild and this game is going to get out of hand early. Kansas secondary is going to create a couple of turnovers off of Josh Hoover and the Jayhawks are going to pick up their second win of the season. Back Kansas to win this game and cover the spread.