Kentucky vs Florida Prediction Football Picks Today 11/8/25

In this article we will formulate a Kentucky vs Florida prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 8th at Kroger Field in Lexington, Kentucky. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 11 matchup. 

Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview

The Kentucky Wildcats are 3-5 (1-5) this year after they defeated Auburn by a score of 10-3 last week. Kentucky was tied at three at halftime and only scored seven points in the second half, but they pitched a shutout in the second half for a much needed win. The Wildcats were out gained by a total of 241-240, went 6-13 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at two in the game. Cutter Boley went 18-29 for 161 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Seth McGowan rushed 21 times for 53 yards. Kendrick Law led the receivers with six catches for 49 yards and one score in the win. The Kentucky defense recorded seven sacks and 13 tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Kentucky lost to Tennessee by a score of 56-34 and Texas by a score of 16-13. The Wildcats have lost four of their last five games and they are currently tied for 13th in the SEC standings. Kentucky has scored 22.4 points per game with 201.3 passing yards and 144.9 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 26.8 points against per game this season. Cutter Boley has thrown for 1,376 yards, 10 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, while Seth McGowan has rushed 114 times for 529 yards and seven scores this year. 

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators are 3-5 (2-3) this season after they lost to Georgia by a score of 24-20 in their last game. Florida was tied at 10 at the half and led 20-17 in the fourth quarter, but allowed a touchdown with 4:36 left for the loss. The Gators were out gained by a total of 361-281, went 2-11 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. DJ Lagway went 15-24 for 166 yards and one touchdown, while Jadan Baugh rushed 15 times for 72 yards and one score. Eugene Wilson III led the receivers with nine catches for 121 yards and one touchdown in the loss. The Florida defense recorded two sacks and four tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Florida defeated Mississippi State by a score of 23-21, but lost to Texas A&M by a score of 34-17 before that. The Gators have alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they are currently tied for 10th in the SEC standings. Florida has scored 22.1 points per game with 226.3 passing yards and 126.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 20.5 points against per game this season. DJ Lagway has thrown for 1,679 yards, 10 touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while Jadan Baugh has rushed 132 times for 683 yards and five scores this season. 

Why the Florida Gators will win

• Kentucky has lost each of its last 10 home games against conference opponents.
• Florida has won seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven November games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Florida has covered the spread in each of its last four games in November.
• Kentucky has lost the first half in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Florida’s last six games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of Kentucky’s last eight November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Kentucky ranks T126th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-4.6).
• Kentucky ranks 119th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (10.5).
• Florida ranks 129th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (30.7).
• Florida ranks T128th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (3.4).

Kentucky vs Florida Prediction 

Kentucky was able to get their first SEC win of the year last week against Auburn, but their offense has been very low scoring, as they have scored 14 points or fewer in four of their last five. Florida has played better in three of their last four games and nearly upset Georgia last week. The Gators did fire their coach a few weeks ago and even though they have the same record as Kentucky, they are the much better team. Take Florida to pull away in the second half for the cover. 

David Racey is 104-85 (55%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!