Kentucky vs New Mexico State 11/20/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions
New Mexico State Aggies (1-9) vs. Kentucky Wildcats (7-3)
November 20, 2021 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Kentucky Wildcats -36 / New Mexico State Aggies +36; Over/Under: -60.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Kentucky Wildcats meet the New Mexico State Aggies on Saturday in week 12 college football action from Kroger Field.
The New Mexico State Aggies will be looking to bounce back from a 59-3 drubbing at the hands of Alabama in their last game. Jonah Johnson has thrown for 2,104 yards, 8 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 58% passing while Juwaun Price has a team-high 485 rushing yards and 6 rushing TDs. Jared Wyatt leads the Aggies with 42 grabs for 486 receiving yards while Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda has 31 catches for 478 receiving yards. The Aggies have another four 200+ yard receivers this year as well after IGC. Chris Ojoh leads the Aggies with 62 total tackles and 6 sacks on the year while D.J. McCullough has 3 interceptions for NMSU.
The Kentucky Wildcats come into this game looking to build on their 34-17 win over Vanderbilt in their last game. Will Levis has thrown for 2,025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on 65.6% passing while Chris Rodriguez Jr. leads the Wildcats with 1,032 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns this season. Wan’Dale Robinson leads Kentucky’s receivers with 77 catches for 886 yards and 7 touchdowns while Josh Ali has 389 receiving yards and another three Wildcats have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Jacquez Jones leads the Wildcats with 71 total takcles while DeAndre Square is right behind with 70 total tackles along with 3 sacks. J.J. Weaver also has 6.5 sacks on the year for Kentucky.
New Mexico State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss. Kentucky is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning home record.
I get the case that could be made both ways, as this is a lot of points for Kentucky, but New Mexico State was just pummelled against Alabama last week. I’m leaning towards the under here as the offensive production that was coming from the Aggies earlier this year is starting to slow down and the Wildcats may take their foot off of the gas once this game gets out of hand. Give me the under.