College Football

Liberty vs Middle Tennessee 10/9/21 CFB Picks and Predictions

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-3) vs. Liberty Flames (4-1)
October 9, 2021 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Liberty Flames -19.5 / Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +19.5; Over/Under: 58
(Get latest betting odds)

The Liberty Flames meet the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Saturday in college football 2021 week 6 action at Williams Stadium. The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders look for a win to get back to a .500 record. The Liberty Flames look for another win to build on their 4-1 record.

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have lost six of their last nine road games. Chase Cunningham is completing 64.8 percent of his passes for 743 yards, 10 touchdowns and one interception. Jimmy Marshall and Jaylin Lane have combined for 451 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Jarrin Pierce has 21 receptions. The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders ground game is averaging 100.4 yards per contest, and Chaton Mobley leads the way with 176 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Middle Tennessee is allowing 29.4 points and 434.8 yards per game. Reed Blankenship leads the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders with 46 tackles, Jordan Ferguson has two sacks and Quincy Riley has two interceptions.


The Liberty Flames haven’t lost a home game since August of 2019. Malik Willis is completing 71 percent of his passes for 1,105 yards, 11 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Demario Douglas and CJ Daniels have combined for 621 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Kevin Shaa has six receptions. The Liberty Flames ground game is averaging 189.8 yards per contest, and Willis leads the way with 418 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Liberty is allowing 14.6 points and 266.4 yards per game. Storey Jackson leads the Liberty Flames with 38 tackles, Kendy Charles has 4.5 sacks and Carl Poole has one interception.

The Blue Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October. The Flames are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Blue Raiders last 7 games in October. The under is 4-1 in Flames last 5 games overall.

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are coming off a decent win over Marshall and have been competitive in their losses, but they’re rough defensively, ranked 106th in total defense and 96th in scoring defense. Not what you want to see when Malik Willis is on the other side. Also, the Liberty Flames have covered six straight games as a double-digit favorite and six straight home games. If it’s not broken, don’t fix it. Give me Liberty in a comfortable home victory.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Liberty Flames -19.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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