Louisiana-Lafayette vs Arkansas State Prediction 11-9-24 College Football Picks
Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-3) vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (7-1)
November 9, 2024 5:00 pm EDT
The Line: Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns -16.5 / Arkansas State Red Wolves +16.5; Over/Under: +56.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Arkansas State Red Wolves and Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns meet Saturday in week 11 college football action at Cajun Field. Here’s a Louisiana-Lafayette vs Arkansas State Prediction. This article will include a Louisiana-Lafayette vs Arkansas State Pick.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview
The Arkansas State Red Wolves beat Southern Miss and Troy, and they play Georgia State next. Arkansas State has lost 3 straight road games. Jaylen Raynor is completing 60.9 percent of his passes for 1,867 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Corey Rucker and Courtney Jackson have combined for 977 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Reagan Ealy has 19 receptions.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves ground game is averaging 138.3 yards per contest, and Ja’Quez Cross leads the way with 386 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 31.4 points and 449.4 yards per game. Marvin Ham leads the Arkansas State Red Wolves with 66 tackles, Jayden Jones has 4 sacks and Trevian Thomas has 3 interceptions.
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Preview
The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns beat Coastal Carolina and Texas State, and they play South Alabama next. The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns have won 2 of their last 3 home games. Ben Wooldridge is completing 69 percent of his passes for 2,037 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Terrance Carter and Lance LeGendre have combined for 968 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Jacob Bernard has 19 receptions.
The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns ground game is averaging 179.4 yards per contest, and Bill Davis leads the way with 520 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Louisiana-Lafayette is allowing 22.1 points and 327.3 yards per game. K.C. Ossai leads the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns with 65 tackles, Cameron Whitfield has 5 sacks and Tyree Skipper has 3 interceptions.
Why the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns will win
- Louisiana has won seven of its last eight games.
- Arkansas State has lost seven of its last eight road games in November.
- The home team has covered the spread in eight of the last 10 games between Arkansas State and Louisiana.
- Arkansas State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games at Cajun Field.
- Louisiana has won the first half in each of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Louisiana has won the first quarter in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Arkansas State’s last six November games as a road underdog has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Nineteen of Louisiana’s last 22 home games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Louisiana ranks 134th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (100.0).
- Louisiana ranks 134th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (100.0).
- Arkansas State ranks T4th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (83.3).
- Arkansas State ranks 127th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (4.5).
Louisiana-Lafayette vs Arkansas State Prediction
The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns are comfortably the better team and will win, but they’re also just 4-4 ATS on the season and 1-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite. Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games as a double-digit favorite. Arkansas State doesn’t do anything well on either side of the ball and could get blown out, but I’m grabbing the points anyway due to the Ragin’ Cajuns not covering big numbers.
